Cubs at Brewers

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
48.6%51.4%
Cubs WinBrewers Win
4.71Projected Runs 4.86
0Final Score 4
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2211-104.851.39

Adrian Houser (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
207-54.321.411

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 10-6 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Jordan Wicks • MIL: Eric Lauer-125
L 3-4 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Kyle Hendricks • MIL: Colin Rea+105
L 3-5 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Marcus Stroman • ATL: AJ Smith-Shawver+129
L 5-6 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Jameson Taillon • ATL: Darius Vines+133
L 6-7 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Justin Steele • ATL: Bryce Elder+129
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 10-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jordan Wicks • MIL: Eric Lauer+117
W 3-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • MIL: Colin Rea-105
W 0-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Dakota Hudson • MIL: Corbin Burnes-245
W 2-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Zach Thompson • MIL: Wade Miley-140
L 4-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • MIL: Adrian Houser-157

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • PMichael Fulmer15-day IL
  • -Brad Boxberger15-day IL
  • 2BNico HoernerQuestionable

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • -Elvis Peguero15-day IL
  • PTrevor MegillOut
  • PThyago Vieira15-day IL
SSE 7 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
From RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°83°82°80°
Humidity50%51%52%56%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 7 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-115+124+121+125+124+125+125+129.7
Brewers-105-134-144-136-134-136-134-129.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-115+125+122+115+120+122+125+129.7
Brewers+105-135-133-130-130-142-130-129.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Brewers ML moved from -130 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Brewers ML moved from -120 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-190+1½-163+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
Brewers-1½+165-1½+147-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+140+1½-165+1½-166+1½-178+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160+1½-153
Brewers+1½-165-1½+145-1½+147-1½+150-1½+150-1½+140-1½+150-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-112o8½-113o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-113o8½-104
Underu8½-108u8½-103u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-103u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-100o8½-120o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-110o8½-104
Underu8½-120u8½+100u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110