Royals at Orioles

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.0
46.5%53.5%
Royals WinOrioles Win
3.67Projected Runs 4.04
2Final Score 1
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.0
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3316-93.01.089

Zach Eflin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2810-93.591.149

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 1-0 at Baltimore OriolesKCR: Cole Ragans • BAL: Corbin Burnes+133
W 4-2 at Atlanta BravesKCR: Alec Marsh • ATL: Charlie Morton+185
L 1-2 at Atlanta BravesKCR: Seth Lugo • ATL: Reynaldo Lopez+200
L 0-3 at Atlanta BravesKCR: Brady Singer • ATL: Max Fried+165
W 7-4 at Washington NationalsKCR: Michael Wacha • WSN: Patrick Corbin-157
Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • BAL: Corbin Burnes-140
W 6-2 at Minnesota TwinsBAL: Albert Suarez • MIN: Bailey Ober+116
W 9-2 at Minnesota TwinsBAL: Matt Bowman • MIN: Zebby Matthews+107
W 7-2 at Minnesota TwinsBAL: Cade Povich • MIN: Pablo Lopez+133
L 1-10 at New York YankeesBAL: Corbin Burnes • NYY: Gerrit Cole+151

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PCole RagansProbable
  • PChris Stratton15-day IL
  • PMichael LorenzenQuestionable
  • PJames McArthur15-day IL

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PGrayson RodriguezOut for Season
E 3 mph
Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°69°68°67°
Humidity76%76%77%80%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindE 3 mphE 3 mphENE 2 mphENE 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+127+129+119+129+131+129+131+133.6
Orioles-138-139-142-140-141-140-139-133.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+129+136+132+130+138+131+138+133.6
Orioles-140-146-145-145-150-142-142-133.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +138 to +129
Orioles ML moved from -150 to -156

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Royals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 60.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +150 to +136
Orioles ML moved from -150 to -157

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-171+1½-163+1½-175+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-153
Orioles-1½+151-1½+147-1½+150-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+150-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-165+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-153
Orioles-1½+145-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+102o7½+105o7½+105o7½+100o7½+105o7½+105o7½+114
Underu7½-110u7½-118u7½-125u7½-125u7½-120u7½-125u7½-118u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+114
Underu7½-105u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125