Guardians at Brewers

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
53.1%46.9%
Guardians WinBrewers Win
4.19Projected Runs 3.86
3Final Score 5
Rank5
R/G4.8
RA/G4.0
Rank10
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank5
R/G4.8
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Gavin Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-44.381.359

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
233-85.021.394

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • CLE: Alex Cobb-125
W 1-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • CLE: Matthew Boyd-145
W 8-9 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • CLE: Ben Lively+108
W 5-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: David Festa+108
W 2-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Gavin Williams • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+106
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 4-6 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Jack Flaherty • MIL: Tobias Myers+128
W 4-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Walker Buehler • MIL: Frankie Montas+103
L 7-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Walker Buehler • MIL: Colin Rea+101
L 5-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • MIL: Freddy Peralta+109
L 4-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • MIL: DL Hall-123

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCarlos Carrasco15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • LFChristian YelichOut for Season
  • CFBlake Perkins10-day IL
  • PHoby Milner15-day IL
  • PRob Zastryzny15-day IL
  • PEnoli Paredes60-day IL
  • PTrevor Megill15-day IL
WSW 9 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°73°72°70°
Humidity76%81%84%87%
Precipitation32%33%28%0%
ConditionThunderstormsRainPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 7 mphWSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+107-107-113-107-106-107-106-101.9
Brewers-117-103-107-103-104-103-103+101.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-112-107-107-109-106-108-106-101.9
Brewers+102-103-103-106-104-102-102+101.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -107 to -113
Brewers ML moved from -104 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -105 to -112
Brewers ML moved from +102 to -102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+155-1½+152-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+157
Brewers+1½-175+1½-168+1½-180+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-168+1½-157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157
Brewers+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-103o7½-120o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+109
Underu8+100u8-113u7½+100u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-113u8-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8+100o8+100o8½+110o8-105o8+100o8+100o8+109
Underu8-105u8-120u8-120u8½-130u8-115u8-120u8½-130u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120