Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.9
RA/G4.6
43.6%56.4%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.47Projected Runs 4.15
7Final Score 3
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G4.4
Rank19
R/G4.9
RA/G4.6
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Walker Buehler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-14.231.193

Doug Nikhazy (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-5 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Tanner Houck • CLE: Ben Lively-105
L 4-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryan Woo • BOS: Garrett Crochet-170
L 8-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • BOS: Sean Newcomb-130
W 3-8 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • BOS: Brayan Bello-113
W 2-4 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Jonathan Cannon • BOS: Walker Buehler-290
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • CLE: Ben Lively-102
L 5-1 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodon • CLE: Luis Ortiz+153
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Will Warren • CLE: Tanner Bibee-110
W 4-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • CLE: Gavin Williams+116
W 5-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Logan Allen • PIT: Mitch Keller+112

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PLucas Giolito10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PJohn Means60-day IL
  • -Slade Cecconi15-day IL
NW 11 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftHigh on Under
 
Temp (°F)48°48°46°45°
Humidity72%73%72%72%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNW 11 mphNNW 10 mphNNW 11 mphN 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+101-118-115-119-118-119-115-113.0
Guardians-111+108-105+108+108+108+108+113.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-102-115-119-111-112-111-111-113.0
Guardians-110+100+107-104+102+101+107+113.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -106
Guardians ML moved from -105 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 50.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -104
Guardians ML moved from -107 to -115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+150-1½+147-1½+155-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+155-1½+153
Guardians+1½-180+1½-163+1½-180+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-215-1½+150+1½-240+1½-220+1½-230+1½-220-1½+153
Guardians-1½+185+1½-170-1½+205-1½+180-1½+195-1½+195+1½-153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-118o7½-118o7½-105o7½-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-105o7½-109
Underu7½+102u7½+102u7½-115u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+102u7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-120o7½-115o8-105o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-109
Underu7½+100u7½+100u7½-105u8-115u7½-105u7½-105u8-115u7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-113 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115