Braves at Padres

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
52.1%47.9%
Braves WinPadres Win
4.11Projected Runs 3.90
1Final Score 12
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-03.380.563

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-03.00.833

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • ATL: Max Fried-205
W 4-16 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • ATL: Bryce Elder-168
L 11-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josh Rogers • ATL: Huascar Ynoa-220
L 6-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • ATL: Ian Anderson-164
W 1-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • ATL: Kyle Wright-165
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 1-2 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Sean Manaea • SFG: Logan Webb+105
L 2-13 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Yu Darvish • SFG: Alex Cobb+108
W 4-2 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Nick Martinez • SFG: Alex Wood+144
W 10-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Nabil Crismatt • ARI: Caleb Smith-152
W 5-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Joe Musgrove • ARI: Zach Davies-155

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • RFRonald Acuna Jr.10-day IL
  • PLuke Jackson60-day IL
  • PMax FriedProbable

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PAustin Adams10-day IL
  • PBlake Snell10-day IL
  • PMike ClevingerOut
WSW 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)64°63°61°60°
Humidity65%68%69%75%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 8 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+108-118-109-105-108-109-105-104.4
Padres-118-102-101-105-102-101-101+104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-100-113-108-105-108-106-105-104.4
Padres-110+103-102-105-102-104+103+104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from +100 to -101
Padres ML moved from +101 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -106 to -113
Padres ML moved from +102 to -101

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+1½-185+1½-220+1½-225+1½-210+1½-225+1½-225+1½-210+1½-192
Padres-1½+160-1½+180-1½+195-1½+175-1½+195-1½+195-1½+195-1½+192
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+1½-185+1½-200+1½-225+1½-200+1½-215+1½-210+1½-200+1½-192
Padres-1½+165-1½+175-1½+197-1½+175-1½+185-1½+185-1½+197-1½+192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-120o7½-110o7½-115o7½-113o7½-110o7½-110o7½-104
Underu8-115u7½+100u7½-110u7½-105u7½-107u7½-110u7½+100u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-100o8+100o8+100o8-100o7½-120o8+105o8+105o7½-104
Underu8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u7½+100u8-125u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-120 to u8-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under