Red Sox at Royals

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
45.8%54.2%
Red Sox WinRoyals Win
3.70Projected Runs 4.14
4Final Score 8

Kansas City Royals

(86-76)
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
227-83.811.089

Cole Ragans (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
238-73.361.164

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 6-5 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Brayan Bello • KCR: Seth Lugo+116
W 9-5 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: James Paxton • KCR: Brady Singer+119
W 7-2 at Texas RangersBOS: Nick Pivetta • TEX: Nathan Eovaldi+108
L 4-7 at Texas RangersBOS: Tanner Houck • TEX: Cody Bradford+104
W 11-6 at Texas RangersBOS: Kutter Crawford • TEX: José Ureña+102
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 6-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • KCR: Seth Lugo-122
L 9-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • KCR: Brady Singer-122
W 3-2 at Detroit TigersKCR: Michael Wacha • DET: Alex Faedo-132
L 5-6 at Detroit TigersKCR: Michael Lorenzen • DET: Tyler Holton-106
W 9-2 at Detroit TigersKCR: Cole Ragans • DET: Tarik Skubal+108

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJustin Slaten15-day IL
  • RFTyler O'Neill10-day IL

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PJohn Schreiber15-day IL
E 7 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)83°80°77°75°
Humidity58%62%67%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 7 mphE 7 mphE 6 mphE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+124+124+118+124+125+124+125+128.7
Royals-135-134-141-135-135-135-134-128.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+138+120+124+123+120+120+124+128.7
Royals-150-130-135-138-130-130-130-128.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +124 to +116
Royals ML moved from -132 to -138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +126 to +120
Royals ML moved from -140 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-163+1½-170+1½-178+1½-170+1½-178+1½-163+1½-165
Royals-1½+140-1½+147-1½+145-1½+158-1½+150-1½+158-1½+158-1½+165
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-175+1½-165+1½-165
Royals-1½+145-1½+150-1½+146-1½+145-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-118o8½-120o8½-122o8½-125o8½-122o8½-118o8½-111
Underu8½-110u8½+102u8½+100u8½+102u8½+105u8½+102u8½+105u8½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o9+100o8½-125o8½-120o8½-111
Underu8½-115u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u9-120u8½+105u8½+105u8½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
No Steam Moves On Under
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