Red Sox at Mets

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
43.5%56.5%
Red Sox WinMets Win
3.92Projected Runs 4.60
1Final Score 4
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2512-64.661.372

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
269-63.961.26

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-4 at Detroit TigersBOS: Cooper Criswell • DET: Beau Brieske+100
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersBOS: Nick Pivetta • DET: Tarik Skubal+128
W 7-5 at Detroit TigersBOS: Tanner Houck • DET: Casey Mize-110
L 2-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Bowden Francis • BOS: Kutter Crawford-125
W 0-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • BOS: Brayan Bello-125
New York Mets
Money Line
W 2-0 at Chicago White SoxNYM: Sean Manaea • CHW: Garrett Crochet-172
W 5-3 at Chicago White SoxNYM: Jose Quintana • CHW: Davis Martin-180
W 5-1 at Chicago White SoxNYM: Tylor Megill • CHW: Jonathan Cannon-210
W 3-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksNYM: David Peterson • ARI: Ryne Nelson+112
L 5-8 at Arizona DiamondbacksNYM: Luis Severino • ARI: Eduardo Rodriguez+115

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJames Paxton60-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
  • PCameron Booser15-day IL
  • PLucas Sims15-day IL
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • PDedniel Nunez15-day IL
  • DHJ.D. MartinezOut
  • PPaul Blackburn15-day IL
NNW 11 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°72°69°67°
Humidity47%49%50%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 11 mphNNW 11 mphNNW 11 mphNNW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-120+100-104+102+100+102+102+106.7
Mets+110-110-116-112-110-112-110-106.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+111+100-102+101+100+100+101+106.7
Mets-121-110-108-116-110-110-108-106.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Mets: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +103 to -102
Mets ML moved from -115 to -124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Mets: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -102
No Steam Moves On Mets ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-205+1½-202+1½-210+1½-205+1½-210+1½-205+1½-202+1½-185
Mets-1½+175-1½+178-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+178-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-183+1½-210+1½-210+1½-200+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-185
Mets-1½+163-1½+180-1½+184-1½+170-1½+175-1½+185-1½+185-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-118o8-110o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-110o8-104
Underu8½-120u8+102u8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+102u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-104
Underu8½-120u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-116
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½+100