Braves at Padres

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
37.2%62.8%
Braves WinPadres Win
3.26Projected Runs 4.60
0Final Score 4
Rank2
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank2
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2

Pitching

AJ Smith-Shawver (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.01.154

Michael King (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3013-92.951.192

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 0-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Joey Lucchesi • ATL: Grant Holmes-280
L 8-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach-138
L 4-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • ATL: Charlie Morton-200
W 1-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Seth Lugo • ATL: Reynaldo Lopez-210
W 0-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • ATL: Max Fried-175
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 2-11 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Martín Pérez • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt+190
W 5-0 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Randy Vásquez • ARI: Eduardo Rodriguez+190
W 5-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Yu Darvish • ARI: Merrill Kelly+122
L 2-7 at Los Angeles DodgersSDP: Joe Musgrove • LAD: Walker Buehler-104
L 3-4 at Los Angeles DodgersSDP: Dylan Cease • LAD: Jack Flaherty+122

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • -Chris SaleOut
  • 3BAustin RileyOut for Season

San Diego Padres

Status
  • 2BMason McCoy10-day IL
  • SSHa Seong KimOut for Season
  • PJhony Brito60-day IL
WNW 7 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°70°68°66°
Humidity70%78%83%87%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWNW 7 mphWNW 6 mphWNW 5 mphNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+129+170+164+172+169+172+172+177.6
Padres-140-186-199-188-179-188-179-177.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+130+175+165+170+171+167+175+177.6
Padres-140-190-182-185-189-184-182-177.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from +158 to +150
Padres ML moved from -162 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from +165 to +152
Padres ML moved from -179 to -185

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+1½-145+1½-133+1½-130+1½-126+1½-130+1½-126+1½-126+1½-115
Padres-1½+125-1½+117-1½+110-1½+106-1½+110-1½+106-1½+117-1½+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves+1½-190+1½-130+1½-138+1½-130+1½-135+1½-135+1½-130+1½-115
Padres-1½+170-1½+110-1½+120-1½+110-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½-103o7½-105o7½-104o7½-105o7½-104o7½-103o7½+105
Underu7+100u7½-113u7½-115u7½-116u7½-115u7½-116u7½-113u7½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+105o7-125o7½+105o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+105
Underu7-125u7+105u7½-125u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-105 to o7-115
The Under moved from u7-110 to u7-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+105 to o7-115
No Steam Moves On Under