Mariners at Guardians

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.2
RA/G3.8
51.5%48.5%
Mariners WinGuardians Win
4.08Projected Runs 3.93
3Final Score 6
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank12
R/G4.2
RA/G3.8
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
156-73.321.142

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-15.461.5

Last 5 Games

Seattle Mariners
Money Line
L 0-8 at Cleveland GuardiansSEA: Bryan Woo • CLE: Tanner Bibee+135
W 8-5 at Cleveland GuardiansSEA: Bryce Miller • CLE: Triston McKenzie+126
W 0-5 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • SEA: Logan Gilbert-138
W 5-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Nathan Eovaldi • SEA: George Kirby-114
W 2-3 vs Texas RangersTEX: Andrew Heaney • SEA: Luis Castillo-137
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 0-8 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryan Woo • CLE: Tanner Bibee-140
L 8-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • CLE: Triston McKenzie-128
L 6-7 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Ben Lively • TOR: José Berríos+110
L 0-5 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Carlos Carrasco • TOR: Trevor Richards+113
W 3-1 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Logan Allen • TOR: Kevin Gausman+138

Injuries

Seattle Mariners

Status
  • PGabe Speier15-day IL
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PEli Morgan15-day IL
  • PNick Sandlin15-day IL
NNW 7 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)86°87°87°88°
Humidity63%63%64%63%
Precipitation0%31%33%36%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNNW 7 mphNNW 7 mphN 7 mphN 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-115+111+109+112+115+112+115+116.5
Guardians+105-121-131-122-125-122-121-116.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-117+122+115+112+115+112+122+116.5
Guardians+107-132-125-127-125-122-122-116.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +100 to -107
Guardians ML moved from -125 to -134

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Mariners: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 80.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +118 to +112
Guardians ML moved from -117 to -123

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-1½+142+1½-188+1½-200+1½-192+1½-200+1½-192+1½-188+1½-176
Guardians+1½-162-1½+167-1½+170-1½+167-1½+170-1½+167-1½+170-1½+176
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-1½+145+1½-185-1½+181+1½-185-1½+175+1½-200+1½-176
Guardians+1½-165-1½+165+1½-205-1½+165+1½-200-1½+170-1½+176

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o8½+102o8½+100o8-118o8-120o8-118o8½+102o8-107
Underu8-125u8½-118u8½-120u8-102u8+100u8-102u8+100u8+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-120o8-120o8½+100o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-107
Underu8½-120u8+100u8+100u8½-120u8-105u8+100u8+100u8+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-114 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-115