Diamondbacks at Braves

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
38.1%61.9%
Diamondbacks WinBraves Win
4.07Projected Runs 5.32
5Final Score 3
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Ryne Nelson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
195-54.981.44

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
1810-63.21.356

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
W 16-13 at Atlanta BravesARI: Zach Davies • ATL: Bryce Elder+168
L 5-7 at Toronto Blue JaysARI: Tommy Henry • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi+146
L 2-5 at Toronto Blue JaysARI: Zac Gallen • TOR: Chris Bassitt+105
L 2-7 at Toronto Blue JaysARI: Ryne Nelson • TOR: José Berríos+155
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • ARI: Zach Davies-146
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 16-13 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zach Davies • ATL: Bryce Elder-177
L 8-1 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dylan Cease • ATL: Kolby Allard-172
L 6-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lance Lynn • ATL: Spencer Strider-304
W 0-9 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Michael Kopech • ATL: Charlie Morton-265
L 4-10 at Tampa Bay RaysATL: Bryce Elder • TBR: Zach Eflin+116

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • PZach Davies15-day IL
  • PDrey Jameson60-day IL
  • PMerrill Kelly15-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • LFEddie RosarioUnknown
  • PKolby Allard60-day IL
  • PNick Anderson60-day IL
  • PA.J. Minter15-day IL
  • LFSam Hilliard10-day IL
  • PDylan Lee60-day IL
W 5 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°85°83°82°
Humidity60%62%66%68%
Precipitation31%26%37%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindW 5 mphWSW 4 mphSSW 4 mphS 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+186+201+195+198+200+198+201+204.9
Braves-205-226-240-220-220-220-220-204.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+193+195+203+192+201+195+203+204.9
Braves-215-230-225-235-225-240-225-204.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +200 to +190
Braves ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Diamondbacks ML
Braves ML moved from -220 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-110+1½+107+1½+100+1½+107+1½+110+1½+107+1½+110+1½+116
Braves-1½-110-1½-123-1½-120-1½-127-1½-130-1½-127-1½-120-1½-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-105+1½+105+1½+107+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110+1½+116
Braves-1½-115-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-1½-116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115o10-103o10-105o10-105o10-105o10-105o10-103o10+104
Underu10-105u10-113u10-115u10-115u10-115u10-115u10-113u10-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115o10-105o10-105o10+100o10-110o10-105o10+100o10+104
Underu10-105u10-115u10-115u10-120u10-110u10-115u10-110u10-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-108 to u10-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115