Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
41.7%58.3%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
4.02Projected Runs 4.89
2Final Score 12

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Joan Adon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
111-95.981.69

Edward Cabrera (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-00.00.833

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CIN: Luis Castillo+165
W 10-8 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Erick Fedde • CIN: Tyler Mahle+121
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Josiah Gray • CIN: Mike Minor+120
L 1-8 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Joan Adon • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+116
L 0-5 at New York MetsWSN: Evan Lee • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+216
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 5-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Jakob Junis • MIA: Braxton Garrett+110
W 4-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • MIA: Pablo Lopez-103
L 15-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: John Brebbia • MIA: Richard Bleier+102
W 0-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-134
L 12-13 at Colorado RockiesMIA: Trevor Rogers • COL: German Marquez+105

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CFVictor RoblesRest
  • PMason Thompson60-day IL
  • Dee Strange-GordonOut
  • SSAlcides Escobar10-day IL
  • PJosh RogersUnknown

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PAnthony BenderUnknown
  • PJesus LuzardoUnknown
  • PCody PoteetUnknown
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • 3BJoey Wendle10-day IL
  • PSixto Sanchez10-day IL
SE 4 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
InNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°76°76°77°
Humidity89%89%89%86%
Precipitation29%29%18%12%
ConditionPossible Light Rain and HumidPossible Light Rain and HumidHumid and OvercastHumid and Overcast
WindSE 4 mphSE 1 mphW 5 mphWNW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+158+153+157+160+156+157+160+160.7
Marlins-168-185-171-170-171-171-170-160.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+155+154+162+159+160+157+162+160.7
Marlins-165-167-179-174-175-167-167-160.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +158 to +150
Marlins ML moved from -177 to -183

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +162 to +155
Marlins ML moved from -168 to -175

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-135+1½-125+1½-128+1½-125+1½-128+1½-128+1½-125+1½-119
Marlins-1½+115-1½+105-1½+108-1½+105-1½+108-1½+108-1½+108-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-135+1½-125+1½-128+1½-130+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-119
Marlins-1½+115-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o9-115o9-112o9-110o9-112o9-112o9-110o9+100
Underu8-120u9-105u9-108u9-110u9-108u9-108u9-105u9+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-115o9-120o9-110o9+100
Underu8+100u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-105u9+100u9+100u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110