Mets at Nationals

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
59.0%41.0%
Mets WinNationals Win
5.33Projected Runs 4.39
11Final Score 5
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

José Quintana (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-53.261.34

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
279-124.91.497

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 3-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • NYM: Tylor Megill+140
L 8-7 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Luis Castillo • NYM: David Peterson+140
W 1-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • NYM: Kodai Senga+105
W 5-6 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • NYM: Denyi Reyes+150
L 2-1 vs Texas RangersTEX: Andrew Heaney • NYM: José Quintana+127
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 6-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • WSN: Josiah Gray+180
L 11-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Johnny Cueto • WSN: Trevor Williams+117
L 8-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Eury Pérez • WSN: Jake Irvin+145
L 6-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • WSN: Joan Adon+139
L 0-7 at Toronto Blue JaysWSN: Patrick Corbin • TOR: Chris Bassitt+189

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • PCarlos CarrascoOut for Season
  • PJoshua Walker60-day IL
  • PJohn Curtiss60-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • RFLane ThomasRest
  • CFStone Garrett10-day IL
  • SSCJ AbramsRest
  • 1BDominic SmithRest
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest
N 3 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)93°89°86°85°
Humidity48%52%57%60%
Precipitation44%44%45%50%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindN 3 mphNNE 4 mphENE 3 mphNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-135-135-140-136-133-136-133-129.7
Nationals+124+125+117+125+123+125+125+129.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-130-130-130-140-128-135-128-129.7
Nationals+115+120+119+118+118+115+120+129.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -142 to -150
Nationals ML moved from +121 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -123 to -130
Nationals ML moved from +123 to +115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+115-1½+127-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+127-1½+128
Nationals+1½-135+1½-143+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+115-1½+115-1½+122-1½+115-1½+115-1½+125-1½+125-1½+128
Nationals+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-145+1½-135+1½-128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-103o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+109
Underu9+100u9½-113u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-113u9½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½-105o9-120o9-130o9½-110o9½+100o9-120o9½+109
Underu9-105u9½-115u9+100u9+110u9½-110u9½-120u9½-110u9½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+107 to o9½-103
The Under moved from u9½-113 to u9½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-130 to o9-135
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120