Cubs at Padres

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
37.2%62.8%
Cubs WinPadres Win
3.51Projected Runs 4.85
7Final Score 5
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Keegan Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Nick Martinez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-23.381.425

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 4-5 at San Diego PadresCHC: Wade Miley • SDP: Mike Clevinger+158
W 6-0 at San Diego PadresCHC: Kyle Hendricks • SDP: MacKenzie Gore+154
L 7-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Walker Buehler • CHC: Justin Steele+213
L 6-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tyler Anderson • CHC: Daniel Norris+170
L 7-0 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • CHC: Drew Smyly+213
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Wade Miley • SDP: Mike Clevinger-162
L 6-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • SDP: MacKenzie Gore-156
W 2-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • SDP: Joe Musgrove-150
L 8-0 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • SDP: Sean Manaea-114
W 2-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • SDP: Yu Darvish-125

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CFMichael Hermosillo10-day IL
  • PMarcus Stroman10-day IL
  • RFSeiya SuzukiRest
  • LFClint Frazier10-day IL
  • PEthan Roberts10-day IL
  • PJustin SteeleQuestionable
  • PSean Newcomb10-day IL
  • 2BNick MadrigalRest

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PBlake Snell10-day IL
  • CAustin NolaRest
  • PAustin Adams60-day IL
  • PPierce Johnson10-day IL
  • 1BMatt Beaty10-day IL
WNW 10 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)65°66°67°67°
Humidity45%43%41%39%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 10 mphWNW 11 mphWNW 13 mphWNW 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+160+139+143+139+143+143+143+149.4
Padres-170-165-155-149-155-155-149-149.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+155+150+143+143+146+144+150+149.4
Padres-171-160-157-153-160-154-153-149.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +160 to +153
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 40.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +156 to +150
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-135+1½-145+1½-151+1½-145+1½-151+1½-151+1½-145+1½-138
Padres-1½+115-1½+125-1½+131-1½+125-1½+131-1½+131-1½+131-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-137+1½-145+1½-145+1½-150+1½-150+1½-155+1½-145+1½-138
Padres-1½+119-1½+125-1½+127-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8+100o7½-123o8+100o7½-123o7½-123o8+100o8+109
Underu8-120u8-120u7½+103u8-120u7½+103u7½+103u7½+103u8-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8+100o8+100o8-100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+109
Underu8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o7½-130
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under