Pirates at Rays

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(76-86)
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
40.4%59.6%
Pirates WinRays Win
4.03Projected Runs 5.04
2Final Score 3

Tampa Bay Rays

(80-82)
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Vince Velasquez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
64-23.061.175

Zach Eflin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-03.01.143

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-8 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: Mitch Keller • TBR: Shane McClanahan+190
L 1-4 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: Roansy Contreras • TBR: Javy Guerra+148
L 2-7 at Washington NationalsPIT: Johan Oviedo • WSN: Josiah Gray-152
W 16-1 at Washington NationalsPIT: Vince Velasquez • WSN: Chad Kuhl-145
W 6-3 at Washington NationalsPIT: Rich Hill • WSN: Patrick Corbin-136
Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
W 1-8 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • TBR: Shane McClanahan-205
W 1-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Roansy Contreras • TBR: Javy Guerra-158
L 9-12 at Chicago White SoxTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CHW: Mike Clevinger-185
W 12-3 at Chicago White SoxTBR: Calvin Faucher • CHW: Lance Lynn-130
W 3-2 at Chicago White SoxTBR: Zach Eflin • CHW: Lucas Giolito-154

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PChase De JongUnknown
  • PWil Crowe60-day IL
  • PJT BrubakerOut for Season
  • 1BJi-Man Choi60-day IL
  • CEndy RodriguezOut
  • SSO'Neil Cruz60-day IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • 2BBrandon LoweRest
  • PPeter FairbanksUnknown
  • PJeffrey SpringsOut for Season
  • DHHarold RamirezRest
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+157+169+165+167+172+167+172+172.3
Rays-171-183-200-182-182-182-182-172.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+162+165+162+170+172+158+172+172.3
Rays-195-180-179-205-190-185-179-172.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +178 to +172
Rays ML moved from -175 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +175 to +162
Rays ML moved from -210 to -220

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-123+1½-125+1½-131+1½-130+1½-131+1½-123+1½-120
Rays-1½+120-1½+107-1½+105-1½+111-1½+110-1½+111-1½+111-1½+120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-130+1½-131+1½-130+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120
Rays-1½+118-1½+110-1½+113-1½+110-1½+100-1½+100-1½+113-1½+120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½+102o8½+105o8-120o8½+100o8-120o8½+105o8-109
Underu8½-115u8½-118u8½-125u8+100u8½-120u8+100u8+100u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-120o8½+100o8½+100o8-125o8-120o8½+100o8-109
Underu8½-115u8+100u8½-120u8½-120u8+105u8+100u8+105u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-118 to o8-128
The Under moved from u8+108 to u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-110
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