Orioles at Red Sox

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
32.1%67.9%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
3.97Projected Runs 5.81
1Final Score 8
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Spenser Watkins (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-34.221.313

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
228-54.341.268

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 6-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • BAL: John Means-144
L 5-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • BAL: Matt Harvey+104
L 9-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • BAL: Keegan Akin+122
L 9-6 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Michael Wacha • BAL: Jorge Lopez+167
L 12-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane McClanahan • BAL: Spenser Watkins+205
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 8-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • BOS: Tanner Houck-114
W 8-20 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Josh Fleming • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-113
L 8-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Luis Patino • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez-122
L 8-9 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Garrett Richards • TOR: Hyun Jin Ryu+170
W 2-1 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TOR: Jose Berrios+150

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • 1BRyan MountcastleUnknown
  • PRyan Hartman10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PDarwinzon Hernandez10-day IL
  • CFDanny Santana10-day IL
  • CChristian VazquezOut
  • LFKyle SchwarberUnknown
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • CFAlex VerdugoUnknown
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
NE 1 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°83°82°82°
Humidity71%75%73%80%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumidHumid
WindNE 1 mphNNW 1 mphSSW 3 mphSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+224-+225+234+222+234+234-
Red Sox-250--270-262-262-262-262-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+210+220+215+220+227+215+227-
Red Sox+0-260-239-250-260-245-239-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Orioles: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +220 to +210
Red Sox ML moved from -260 to -270

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Orioles: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +217 to +207
Red Sox ML moved from -250 to -260

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+115-+1½+125+1½+125+1½+125+1½+125+1½+125-
Red Sox-1½-135--1½-145-1½-145-1½-145-1½-145-1½-145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-120+1½+120+1½+113+1½+120+1½+125+1½+115+1½+125-
Red Sox-1½+100-1½-140-1½-131-1½-140-1½-145-1½-135-1½-131-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-125-o11-105o10½-122o10½-122o10½-122o10½-122-
Underu10½+105-u11-115u10½+102u10½+102u10½+102u11-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11-110o11-105o11+100o11+100o11-105o11-105o11+100-
Underu11-110u11-115u11-120u11-120u11-115u11-115u11-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-120 to o11-125
The Under moved from u11-119 to u11-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-120 to o11-110
The Under moved from u11-110 to u11-120