Reds at Brewers

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.3
41.8%58.2%
Reds WinBrewers Win
3.99Projected Runs 4.85
3Final Score 8
Rank5
R/G4.8
RA/G4.0
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.8
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Carson Spiers (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-33.591.162

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
222-85.141.411

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 10-4 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Hunter Greene • MIA: Kyle Tyler-174
L 4-6 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Andrew Abbott • MIA: Valente Bellozo-116
W 8-2 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Nick Lodolo • MIA: Max Meyer-127
W 10-3 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Nick Martinez • MIA: Roddery Muñoz-134
L 8-2 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Robbie Ray • CIN: Carson Spiers-107
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 16-7 at Atlanta BravesMIL: Frankie Montas • ATL: Charlie Morton+123
W 8-5 at Atlanta BravesMIL: Freddy Peralta • ATL: Chris Sale+138
W 10-0 at Atlanta BravesMIL: Colin Rea • ATL: Bryce Elder+122
L 3-4 at Washington NationalsMIL: Tobias Myers • WSN: Mitchell Parker-119
L 4-6 at Washington NationalsMIL: Aaron Civale • WSN: DJ Herz-112

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PGraham Ashcraft60-day IL
  • CAustin Wynns10-day IL
  • PBrent Suter15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PRob Zastryzny15-day IL
  • PBryan Hudson15-day IL
  • LFChristian Yelich10-day IL
  • PTrevor Megill15-day IL
WNW 11 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)69°67°64°63°
Humidity57%62%66%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWNW 11 mphWNW 9 mphW 8 mphWNW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+129+138+135+140+145+140+145+145.1
Brewers-140-148-161-153-155-153-148-145.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+122+143+140+135+136+137+143+145.1
Brewers-132-153-154-150-148-152-148-145.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +129 to +122
Brewers ML moved from -149 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +126 to +119
Brewers ML moved from -146 to -152

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-175+1½-153+1½-160+1½-158+1½-160+1½-158+1½-153+1½-146
Brewers-1½+155-1½+137-1½+135-1½+138-1½+140-1½+138-1½+140-1½+146
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-146
Brewers-1½+145-1½+140-1½+141-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+141-1½+146

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-113o8½-105o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-105o8½-104
Underu8½-105u8½-103u8½-115u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-103u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-104
Underu8½+100u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-110