Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
53.9%46.1%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
4.70Projected Runs 4.24
5Final Score 1

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Erick Fedde (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
205-85.141.433

Jesus Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-67.761.778

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-7 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Sean Nolin • MIL: Adrian Houser+200
L 6-9 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Paolo Espino • MIL: Eric Lauer+211
W 4-1 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Patrick Corbin • MIL: Brett Anderson+173
W 5-8 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Jose Berrios • WSN: Josiah Gray+155
W 6-12 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • WSN: Erick Fedde+181
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 1-3 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+121
L 4-7 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Zach Thompson • CIN: Wade Miley+178
L 3-5 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Elieser Hernandez • CIN: Sonny Gray+168
L 1-6 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Nick Neidert • CIN: Luis Castillo+271
L 11-9 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+210

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • 2BStarlin CastroOut
  • PJoe Ross60-day IL
  • PStephen StrasburgOut for Season
  • 1BJosh BellRest
  • CFVictor RoblesRest

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 1BJesus AguilarRest
  • PJorge Guzman10-day IL
ESE 10 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°84°83°83°
Humidity75%76%77%76%
Precipitation1%2%2%1%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindESE 10 mphESE 10 mphE 9 mphE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-115--105+100+100+100+100-
Marlins+105--115-110-110-110-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-108+102+101-+100+102+102-
Marlins-102-112-111--110-112-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +102 to -101
Marlins ML moved from -105 to -112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +102 to -102
Marlins ML moved from +105 to -105

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-1½+140--1½+155-1½+156-1½+156-1½+156-1½+156-
Marlins+1½-160-+1½-175+1½-176+1½-176+1½-176+1½-175-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-1½+150-1½+160-1½+160--1½+150+1½-210-
Marlins+1½-170+1½-180+1½-180-+1½-170-1½+185-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110-o8½-105o8½+105o8½+105o8½+105o8½+105-
Underu8½-110-u8½-115u8½-125u8½-125u8½-125u8½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105-
Underu8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-115u8½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-118 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120