Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
41.4%58.6%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.33Projected Runs 4.23
3Final Score 1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-05.41.4

Joe Ryan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-01.690.75

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 4-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo López+150
W 8-0 at Seattle MarinersCLE: Logan Allen • SEA: George Kirby+135
W 5-2 at Seattle MarinersCLE: Shane Bieber • SEA: Luis Castillo+107
L 4-5 at Seattle MarinersCLE: Triston McKenzie • SEA: Emerson Hancock-110
L 3-4 at Oakland AthleticsCLE: Carlos Carrasco • OAK: Paul Blackburn-115
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo López-160
W 7-3 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Chris Paddack • MIL: Joe Ross-105
L 2-3 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Louie Varland • MIL: Jakob Junis+109
L 0-11 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Bailey Ober • KCR: Brady Singer-113
W 5-1 at Kansas City RoyalsMIN: Joe Ryan • KCR: Seth Lugo-112

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • -Trevor Stephan60-day IL
  • PGavin Williams15-day IL
  • 2BAngel Martinez10-day IL
  • PShane BieberOut for Season
  • PJames Karinchak60-day IL
  • PBen Lively15-day IL
  • PXzavion Curry15-day IL
  • PSam Hentges15-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 3BRoyce Lewis10-day IL
  • PZack Weiss15-day IL
  • PJhoan Duran15-day IL
  • PJustin Topa15-day IL
  • PJosh Winder60-day IL
  • PAnthony DeSclafani60-day IL
  • PJosh Staumont15-day IL
  • PCaleb Thielbar15-day IL
SE 15 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From RightHigh on Under
 
Temp (°F)55°56°57°58°
Humidity37%35%35%35%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 15 mphSE 15 mphSE 15 mphSE 15 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+156+150+144+152+153+152+153+157.3
Twins-170-162-175-166-163-166-162-157.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+146+155+152+150+153+147+155+157.3
Twins-160-170-167-165-167-162-162-157.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +154 to +143
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +156 to +150
Twins ML moved from -165 to -171

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-144+1½-143+1½-150+1½-146+1½-140+1½-146+1½-140+1½-134
Twins-1½+124-1½+127-1½+130-1½+126-1½+120-1½+126-1½+130-1½+134
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-140+1½-135+1½-141+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-135+1½-134
Twins-1½+120-1½+115-1½+123-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+134

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o8-113o8-115o8-113o8-115o8-113o8-113o8-103
Underu8+105u8-103u8-105u8-107u8-105u8-107u8-103u8+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-103
Underu8+100u8-110u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-105u8+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8½+102
The Under moved from u7½-103 to u7½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u7½+110 to u8-115