Mets at Marlins

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
45.7%54.3%
Mets WinMarlins Win
4.21Projected Runs 4.67
3Final Score 4

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Joey Lucchesi (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-02.831.257

Braxton Garrett (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
289-63.671.156

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsNYM: José Butto • MIA: Edward Cabrera+150
W 4-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Brandon Williamson • NYM: José Quintana-128
L 3-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • NYM: Tylor Megill-109
L 5-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • NYM: David Peterson-106
W 1-11 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • NYM: Kodai Senga-112
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 2-1 vs New York MetsNYM: José Butto • MIA: Edward Cabrera-155
W 2-16 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • MIA: Jesús Luzardo+110
W 5-11 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Jared Shuster • MIA: Bryan Hoeing+105
W 6-9 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • MIA: Johnny Cueto+155
L 2-4 at Milwaukee BrewersMIA: Eury Pérez • MIL: Adrian Houser-105

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • 3BBrett BatyUnknown
  • 2BLuis GuillormeRest
  • PCarlos CarrascoOut for Season

Miami Marlins

Status
  • LFBryan De La CruzUnknown
  • 2BLuis ArraezUnknown
  • PSandy Alcantara15-day IL
ESE 7 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°84°81°81°
Humidity73%77%82%83%
Precipitation29%30%13%9%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindESE 7 mphE 5 mphENE 6 mphENE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+147+138+131+135+134+135+138+139.9
Marlins-160-148-157-147-144-147-144-139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+140+140+137+126+140+130+140+139.9
Marlins-165-150-150-150-153-150-150-139.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +144 to +137
No Steam Moves On Marlins ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +143 to +134
Marlins ML moved from -147 to -157

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-150+1½-153+1½-160+1½-158+1½-160+1½-158+1½-153+1½-146
Marlins-1½+130-1½+137-1½+135-1½+138-1½+140-1½+138-1½+140-1½+146
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-155+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-146
Marlins-1½+130-1½+140-1½+146-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+146-1½+146

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-108o8½-105o8½-108o8½-110o8½-108o8½-105o8½+102
Underu8-105u8½-108u8½-115u8½-112u8½-110u8½-112u8½-108u8½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-125o8-125o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+102
Underu8-115u8+105u8+105u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8½-103
The Under moved from u8-103 to u7½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105