Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
37.1%62.9%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.70Projected Runs 5.06
3Final Score 11
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-87.051.777

Vladimir Gutierrez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
126-34.391.36

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 0-10 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Wade Miley+172
L 4-7 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Wil Crowe • CIN: Sonny Gray+216
L 2-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Steven Brault • MIL: Freddy Peralta+234
W 8-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Max Kranick • MIL: Adrian Houser+210
L 2-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIL: Eric Lauer+189
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 0-10 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Wade Miley-182
W 4-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Wil Crowe • CIN: Sonny Gray-238
W 5-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Charlie Barnes • CIN: Luis Castillo-226
L 7-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CIN: Tyler Mahle-133
W 7-1 at New York MetsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • NYM: Marcus Stroman+170

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PChase De Jong60-day IL
  • LFBen Gamel10-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsUnknown
  • PSam Howard10-day IL
  • SSKevin NewmanUnknown
  • PChad Kuhl10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PArt Warren10-day IL
  • PMichael Feliz60-day IL
  • CFTyler NaquinRest
  • CTyler StephensonUnknown
  • 3BEugenio SuarezRest
  • PR.J. Alaniz10-day IL
WSW 5 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°84°81°78°
Humidity55%59%66%71%
Precipitation10%10%6%2%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 5 mphW 4 mphW 3 mphSW 3 mph
Phil Cuzzi
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+179-+170+178+174+178+178-
Reds-195--200-194-194-194-194-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+165+185+176+170+178+175+185-
Reds-180-210-195-190-197-190-190-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +163 to +156
Reds ML moved from -190 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +185 to +178
Reds ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115-+1½+100+1½-106+1½-106+1½-106+1½+100-
Reds-1½-105--1½-120-1½-114-1½-114-1½-114-1½-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½+100+1½-103+1½-110+1½+105+1½-110+1½+105-
Reds-1½-105-1½-120-1½-115-1½-110-1½-125-1½-110-1½-110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110-o10½-120o10½-116o10½-116o10½-116o10½-116-
Underu10-110-u10½+100u10½-104u10½-104u10½-104u10½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115o10½-120o10½-120o10½-115o10½-120o10½-115o10½-115-
Underu10-105u10½+100u10½+100u10½-105u10½+100u10½-105u10½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-101 to o10½-120
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-105 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-105