Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
44.6%55.4%
Guardians WinTwins Win
4.29Projected Runs 4.86
3Final Score 1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Eli Morgan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
101-56.521.283

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
131-14.531.301

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-5 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Cal Quantrill • MIN: Griffin Jax+116
W 11-0 at Detroit TigersCLE: Triston McKenzie • DET: Drew Hutchison-129
L 4-6 at Detroit TigersCLE: Sam Hentges • DET: Wily Peralta+118
W 7-4 at Detroit TigersCLE: Zach Plesac • DET: Tyler Alexander-114
L 17-0 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Chris Bassitt • CLE: Eli Morgan+161
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Cal Quantrill • MIN: Griffin Jax-122
W 4-5 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Luis Patino • MIN: Charlie Barnes+144
W 0-12 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Michael Wacha • MIN: Kenta Maeda-105
L 10-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane McClanahan • MIN: Michael Pineda+155
W 0-1 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Reynaldo Lopez • MIN: Bailey Ober+138

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 1BBobby Bradley10-day IL
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
  • RFHarold Ramirez10-day IL
  • PNick Sandlin10-day IL
  • DHFranmil ReyesRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • CFKyle Garlick60-day IL
  • PJorge Alcala10-day IL
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • PTaylor Rogers10-day IL
  • PMichael Pineda10-day IL
SSE 10 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°84°82°81°
Humidity54%61%64%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 10 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 10 mph
Jim Wolf
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+123-+150+152+150+152+152-
Twins-133--175-165-165-165-165-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+133+152+161+158+151+160+161-
Twins-145-165-177-173-165-170-165-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +152 to +146
Twins ML moved from -158 to -169

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +158 to +152
Twins ML moved from -162 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-150-+1½-135+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125-
Twins-1½+130--1½+115-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-145+1½-140+1½-123+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135+1½-123-
Twins-1½+125-1½+120-1½+105-1½+120-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110-o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105-
Underu9½-110-u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-110o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105-
Underu9½-110u9½-110u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½-103 to u9½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9½-120