Reds at Brewers

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
49.4%50.6%
Reds WinBrewers Win
4.21Projected Runs 4.27
0Final Score 3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Ben Lively (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-53.881.21

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
196-84.721.282

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Andrew Abbott • MIL: Corbin Burnes+140
L 2-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIL: Colin Rea+104
W 3-7 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Jose Ruiz • CIN: Luke Weaver+104
W 2-4 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Brandon Pfaadt • CIN: Brandon Williamson+110
W 6-9 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Tommy Henry • CIN: Ben Lively-107
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • MIL: Corbin Burnes-145
W 2-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIL: Colin Rea-110
L 4-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • MIL: Julio Teheran+147
W 3-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Allan Winans • MIL: Adrian Houser+130
L 6-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Michael Soroka • MIL: Freddy Peralta+111

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFNick SenzelRest
  • CCurt Casali10-day IL
  • LFStuart FairchildRest
  • 3BSpencer SteerRest

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 1BRowdy Tellez10-day IL
  • DHJesse Winker10-day IL
  • LFGarrett Mitchell60-day IL
  • 1BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • PWade Miley15-day IL
SW 10 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°81°84°86°
Humidity77%76%69%66%
Precipitation52%41%0%0%
ConditionCloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSW 10 mphSSW 9 mphSW 9 mphWSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+124+123+118+121+121+121+123+125.7
Brewers-135-133-141-132-131-132-131-125.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+118+120+119+115+120+116+120+125.7
Brewers-140-130-130-130-130-136-130-125.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +123 to +115
Brewers ML moved from -132 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +122 to +115
Brewers ML moved from -130 to -136

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-165+1½-168+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-157
Brewers-1½+145-1½+152-1½+140-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+152-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-175+1½-170+1½-172+1½-180+1½-170+1½-180+1½-170+1½-157
Brewers-1½+148-1½+150-1½+152-1½+152-1½+150-1½+150-1½+152-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9+102o9-105o9-104o9+100o9-104o9+102o9+105
Underu9-120u9-118u9-115u9-116u9-120u9-116u9-115u9-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-125o9+100o8½-125o8½-120o9+105
Underu8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u9-120u8½+105u8½+105u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120