Mets at Padres

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
52.3%47.7%
Mets WinPadres Win
4.36Projected Runs 4.12
0Final Score 7
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Paul Blackburn (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
135-34.191.192

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
123-44.971.397

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 8-3 at San Diego PadresNYM: Luis Severino • SDP: Dylan Cease+144
W 3-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Cole Irvin • NYM: Sean Manaea-133
L 9-5 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • NYM: Jose Quintana-121
W 3-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Trevor Rogers • NYM: David Peterson-129
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Valente Bellozo • NYM: Paul Blackburn-180
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 8-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Luis Severino • SDP: Dylan Cease-150
L 11-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • SDP: Matt Waldron-120
W 5-7 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • SDP: Martín Pérez+112
W 3-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Zebby Matthews • SDP: Michael King-170
L 2-3 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Joe Musgrove • COL: Bradley Blaylock-187

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PKodai Senga60-day IL
  • PDedniel Nunez15-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PStephen Kolek15-day IL
  • SSHa Seong Kim10-day IL
  • RFFernando Tatis Jr.60-day IL
W 7 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)74°72°71°70°
Humidity66%71%74%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindW 7 mphW 6 mphWNW 5 mphWNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+124+119+114+119+122+119+122+123.4
Padres-135-129-136-129-132-129-129-123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+125+125+123+117+126+122+126+123.4
Padres-135-135-134-132-137-132-132-123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +119 to +113
Padres ML moved from -133 to -139

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Mets: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 40.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +128 to +120
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-180+1½-183+1½-185+1½-182+1½-180+1½-182+1½-180+1½-169
Padres-1½+160-1½+162-1½+160-1½+162-1½+160-1½+162-1½+162-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-169
Padres-1½+160-1½+155-1½+155-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o7½-118o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+109
Underu8-125u7½+102u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u7½+102u8-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8+100o8+105o8-110o8+100o8+105o8+105o8+109
Underu8-120u8-120u8-125u8-110u8-120u8-125u8-110u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+103 to o8-105
The Under moved from u8-103 to u7½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120