Royals at Twins

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.0
46.9%53.1%
Royals WinTwins Win
3.27Projected Runs 3.60
6Final Score 1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.0
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
118-11.740.968

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-24.331.038

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 2-4 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Cole Ragans • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson-130
L 5-6 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Alec Marsh • MIN: Joe Ryan+158
L 1-4 at Tampa Bay RaysKCR: Michael Wacha • TBR: Taj Bradley+108
W 7-4 at Tampa Bay RaysKCR: Brady Singer • TBR: Aaron Civale-106
W 8-1 at Tampa Bay RaysKCR: Seth Lugo • TBR: Shawn Armstrong-112
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+121
W 5-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • MIN: Joe Ryan-161
L 6-2 vs Texas RangersTEX: Gerson Garabito • MIN: Pablo López-160
W 3-5 vs Texas RangersTEX: Michael Lorenzen • MIN: Chris Paddack-140
W 2-3 vs Texas RangersTEX: José Ureña • MIN: Bailey Ober-157

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 2BMichael Massey10-day IL
  • DHVinnie PasquantinoRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PJustin Topa60-day IL
  • PBrock Stewart15-day IL
SE 6 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)71°69°67°64°
Humidity41%43%48%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly ClearClear
WindSE 6 mphSE 6 mphSE 5 mphESE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+105+116+108+112+117+112+117+116.5
Twins-115-126-130-122-127-122-122-116.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+116+120+121+118+120+118+121+116.5
Twins-126-130-132-133-130-128-128-116.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +117 to +111
Twins ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
Twins ML moved from -122 to -128

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-190+1½-231+1½-200+1½-195+1½-195+1½-195+1½-195+1½-178
Twins-1½+165-1½+199-1½+170-1½+170-1½+167-1½+170-1½+199-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-190+1½-180+1½-190+1½-185+1½-190+1½-190+1½-180+1½-178
Twins-1½+170-1½+160-1½+168-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+168-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-103o7½-110o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+104
Underu7½-110u7½-113u7½-110u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-110u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-105o7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+104
Underu7½-110u7½-115u7½-110u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-110u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+102 to o7½-108
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-125 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105