Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
41.5%58.5%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.58Projected Runs 4.47
2Final Score 5
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Luis Ortiz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-03.461.308

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
135-64.731.365

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 0-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Wade Miley-107
L 4-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Rich Hill • MIL: Julio Teheran+105
L 2-7 at Chicago CubsPIT: Johan Oviedo • CHC: Marcus Stroman+136
L 6-10 at Chicago CubsPIT: Osvaldo Bido • CHC: Drew Smyly+140
L 3-11 at Chicago CubsPIT: Luis Ortiz • CHC: Jameson Taillon+118
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Wade Miley+104
W 4-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Rich Hill • MIL: Julio Teheran-112
L 2-4 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Colin Rea • MIN: Bailey Ober+142
L 5-7 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Corbin Burnes • MIN: Pablo Lopez+118
L 8-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: JP Sears • MIL: Freddy Peralta-190

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PVince VelasquezOut for Season
  • -Rob Zastryzny15-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • RFTyrone Taylor10-day IL
  • LFGarrett Mitchell60-day IL
  • DHDarin Ruf60-day IL
  • PJake Cousins15-day IL
ESE 10 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°76°77°77°
Humidity55%51%48%46%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindESE 10 mphESE 10 mphESE 10 mphESE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+143+160+153+166+167+166+167+171.3
Brewers-155-173-185-181-177-181-173-171.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+135+160+155+150+154+150+160+171.3
Brewers-160-175-171-178-168-175-168-171.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +147 to +140
Brewers ML moved from -172 to -179

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +151 to +143
Brewers ML moved from -165 to -178

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-135+1½-133+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-119
Brewers-1½+115-1½+117-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+117-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-135+1½-133+1½-135+1½-145+1½-145+1½-133+1½-119
Brewers-1½+126-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9+107o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8½-110u9-123u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u9-123u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-130o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8½-110u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+110u8½+110u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-105