Padres at Twins

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
49.9%50.1%
Padres WinTwins Win
3.80Projected Runs 3.81
3Final Score 4
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-23.211.337

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 6-1 at Minnesota TwinsSDP: Michael Wacha • MIN: Louie Varland+101
L 5-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • SDP: Joe Musgrove+105
L 2-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Dustin May • SDP: Blake Snell-124
W 2-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • SDP: Yu Darvish+100
W 1-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Cessa • SDP: Seth Lugo-250
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 6-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael Wacha • MIN: Louie Varland-109
L 0-2 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Joe Ryan • CLE: Cal Quantrill-152
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Sonny Gray • CLE: Logan Allen+102
W 2-0 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Peyton Battenfield-115
W 7-3 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Pablo Lopez • CHW: Lucas Giolito-140

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PNabil CrismattUnknown
  • CLuis Campusano10-day IL
  • RFJose Azocar10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PTyler Mahle60-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown
  • 2BKyle FarmerUnknown
  • 3BJose MirandaRest
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
SE 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°76°73°71°
Humidity44%46%50%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%30%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyMostly CloudyThunderstorms
WindSE 8 mphSE 7 mphSE 6 mphSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+110+117+111+117+119+117+119+121.4
Twins-120-126-133-127-129-127-126-121.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+112+115+119+112+116+112+119+121.4
Twins-125-125-130-125-126-132-125-121.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Padres ML
Twins ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +121 to +115
Twins ML moved from -124 to -132

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-185+1½-188+1½-185+1½-178+1½-185+1½-178+1½-178+1½-165
Twins-1½+165-1½+167-1½+160-1½+158-1½+160-1½+158-1½+167-1½+165
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-185+1½-180+1½-178+1½-180+1½-180+1½-185+1½-178+1½-165
Twins-1½+165-1½+160-1½+158-1½+152-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105o9+102o8½-130o8½-130o9+100o8½-130o9+102o8½-119
Underu8½-125u9-118u8½+110u8½+110u9-120u8½+110u8½+110u8½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-100o8½-120o9-110o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-119
Underu8½-120u8½+100u9-110u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u9-110u8½+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-113 to o9-103
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
No Steam Moves On Under