Nationals at Brewers

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
33.3%66.7%
Nationals WinBrewers Win
3.44Projected Runs 5.17
5Final Score 9
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
286-105.441.547

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
299-83.471.056

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-5 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Jake Irvin • MIL: Wade Miley+168
L 0-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Josiah Gray • PIT: Mitch Keller+150
L 6-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Jackson Rutledge • PIT: Colin Selby+134
L 1-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Joan Adon • PIT: Bailey Falter+140
W 6-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Patrick Corbin • PIT: Andre Jackson+130
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • MIL: Wade Miley-180
W 2-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Eury Pérez • MIL: Adrian Houser+100
L 2-0 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • MIL: Tylor Megill-117
W 1-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: JT Chargois • MIL: Freddy Peralta-152
W 0-12 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesús Luzardo • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-133

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • RFAlex CallRest
  • CRiley Adams10-day IL
  • PMacKenzie Gore15-day IL
  • CFStone Garrett10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • LFChristian YelichRest
S 6 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
From RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°67°65°63°
Humidity67%75%79%86%
Precipitation0%20%20%18%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 6 mphSSW 6 mphWSW 5 mphWNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+214+235+235+242+235+242+242+250.8
Brewers-240-265-300-275-270-275-265-250.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+225+230+234+228+235+225+235+250.8
Brewers-275-270-262-285-275-275-262-250.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +242 to +231
Brewers ML moved from -290 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Brewers ML moved from -278 to -285

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½+117+1½+120+1½+119+1½+115+1½+119+1½+120+1½+127
Brewers-1½-115-1½-133-1½-140-1½-139-1½-135-1½-139-1½-133-1½-127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+110+1½+110+1½+116+1½+115+1½+115+1½+115+1½+116+1½+127
Brewers-1½-130-1½-130-1½-134-1½-135-1½-135-1½-135-1½-130-1½-127

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-108o8-110o8-113o8-105o8-113o8-105o8-103
Underu8-110u8-108u8-110u8-107u8-115u8-107u8-107u8+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-103
Underu8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under