Red Sox at Twins

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
52.6%47.4%
Red Sox WinTwins Win
4.13Projected Runs 3.85
2Final Score 5
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-21.60.915

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-15.881.692

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 3-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Kyle Harrison • BOS: Josh Winckowski-115
W 2-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Erik Miller • BOS: Kutter Crawford-150
W 0-4 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • BOS: Cooper Criswell+125
W 4-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • BOS: Tanner Houck-140
W 0-17 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Ben Brown • BOS: Josh Winckowski+103
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 10-5 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Bailey Ober • CHW: Chris Flexen-210
W 6-5 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CHW: Michael Soroka-166
W 3-2 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • CHW: Garrett Crochet-155
W 11-5 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Pablo López • LAA: Reid Detmers-104
W 16-5 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Chris Paddack • LAA: José Soriano+100

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PBrayan Bello15-day IL
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • 2BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell15-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
  • 1BTriston Casas60-day IL
  • PNick Pivetta15-day IL
  • 2BVaughn GrissomUnknown
  • PChris MurphyOut for Season
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • DHByron Buxton10-day IL
SW 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)67°64°61°59°
Humidity40%48%55%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindSW 8 mphWSW 4 mphNNW 5 mphN 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+110+107+102+106+109+106+109+110.6
Twins-120-117-122-116-119-116-116-110.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-102+110+107+108+111+106+111+110.6
Twins-108-120-117-123-121-116-116-110.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -113 to -119
Twins ML moved from -123 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +115 to +109
Twins ML moved from -115 to -121

Run Lines

 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-210-1½+167+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-190
Twins-1½+180+1½-188-1½+175-1½+180-1½+175-1½+180-1½+190
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-200-1½+175-1½+173+1½-200+1½-210-1½+175+1½-190
Twins-1½+170+1½-200+1½-195-1½+170-1½+180+1½-205-1½+190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o7½-108o7½-110o7½-108o7½-110o7½-108o7½-108o7½+102
Underu8½-105u7½-108u7½-110u7½-112u7½-110u7½-112u7½-108u7½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-110o8-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+102
Underu8½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-110u8-115u7½-115u8-115u7½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-113 to u8½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-115