Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
43.4%56.6%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.31Projected Runs 3.98
0Final Score 1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-12.841.026

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-22.681.017

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 6-7 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo Lopez+127
W 12-8 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Shane Bieber • BAL: Keegan Akin-107
L 5-8 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Cal Quantrill • BAL: Kyle Gibson+128
W 5-0 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Logan Allen • BAL: Tyler Wells+130
W 3-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jordan Montgomery • CLE: Hunter Gaddis+128
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 6-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo Lopez-134
W 8-2 at Houston AstrosMIN: Louie Varland • HOU: Hunter Brown+168
L 1-5 at Houston AstrosMIN: Joe Ryan • HOU: Brandon Bielak-102
W 7-5 at Houston AstrosMIN: Sonny Gray • HOU: J.P. France+114
L 3-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • MIN: Bailey Ober+103

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
  • PCal QuantrillUnknown
  • DHJosh BellOut
  • PPeyton BattenfieldUnknown
  • 1BJosh NaylorUnknown
  • CMike ZuninoRest
  • SSAmed RosarioRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
  • RFMax KeplerUnknown
  • LFJoey GalloUnknown
  • SSCarlos CorreaDoubtful
  • CChristian VazquezRest
  • DHByron BuxtonUnknown
  • LFNick Gordon10-day IL
  • PJorge AlcalaUnknown
  • LFTrevor Larnach10-day IL
SE 7 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°80°78°76°
Humidity58%60%65%67%
Precipitation42%41%35%30%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindSE 7 mphESE 6 mphESE 5 mphESE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+130+117+108+116+120+116+120+120.4
Twins-141-126-130-126-130-126-126-120.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+118+117+114+115+118+110+118+120.4
Twins-140-127-124-130-128-130-124-120.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +121 to +113
Twins ML moved from -127 to -133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +118 to +110
Twins ML moved from -120 to -126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-165+1½-183+1½-180+1½-182+1½-185+1½-182+1½-180+1½-169
Twins-1½+145-1½+162-1½+155-1½+162-1½+165-1½+162-1½+165-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-170+1½-175+1½-184+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-169
Twins-1½+143-1½+155-1½+164-1½+152-1½+160-1½+160-1½+164-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-108o8+100o8-105o8+100o8-105o8+100o8+104
Underu8½+100u8-108u8-120u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-108u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8-105o8+100o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+100o8+104
Underu8½-110u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-118 to o8-113
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+110 to o8½+100
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115