Guardians at Reds

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
46.9%53.1%
Guardians WinReds Win
4.62Projected Runs 4.95
7Final Score 3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 10-5 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Shane Bieber • CIN: Tyler Mahle+100
W 10-7 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Aaron Civale • KCR: Carlos Hernandez-107
W 17-3 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Cal Quantrill • KCR: Kris Bubic+107
L 0-1 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Zach Plesac • KCR: Brad Keller+110
L 1-3 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Shane Bieber • KCR: Zack Greinke-120
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 10-5 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • CIN: Tyler Mahle-105
W 6-3 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Hunter Greene • ATL: Ian Anderson+155
L 1-2 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • ATL: Kyle Wright+160
L 6-7 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Reiver Sanmartin • ATL: Charlie Morton+170
W 6-3 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Tyler Mahle • ATL: Max Fried+163

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • RFJosh Naylor10-day IL
  • CLuke Maile10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFTommy PhamRest
  • CFNick SenzelRest
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
Dan Bellino
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+120+111+115+117+115+115+117+118.7
Reds-130-133-125-127-125-125-125-118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+120+115+117+115+114+117+117+118.7
Reds-130-125-128-125-124-127-124-118.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +108 to +100
Reds ML moved from -120 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +115 to +108
Reds ML moved from -120 to -127

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-150+1½-170+1½-173+1½-165+1½-173+1½-173+1½-165+1½-154
Reds-1½+130-1½+145-1½+153-1½+145-1½+153-1½+153-1½+153-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-160+1½-165+1½-166+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-154
Reds-1½+140-1½+145-1½+147-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110o9-105o9-108o9-115o9-108o9-108o9-105o9+100
Underu10-110u9-115u9-112u9-105u9-112u9-112u9-105u9+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10+100o9-105o9+100o9-105o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+100
Underu10-120u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-115u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-103 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-125 to u9-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115