Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.3
RA/G5.2
48.9%51.1%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
4.35Projected Runs 4.46
6Final Score 7
Rank27
R/G4.5
RA/G6.1
Rank25
R/G4.3
RA/G5.2
Rank27
R/G4.5
RA/G6.1

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-05.41.7

Sandy Alcántara (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-03.720.931

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 5-4 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIA: Edward Cabrera-107
L 6-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Landon Knack • WSN: Jake Irvin+173
W 2-8 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Justin Wrobleski • WSN: Brad Lord+165
W 4-6 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Dustin May • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+163
W 4-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Corbin Burnes • WSN: Trevor Williams+166
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIA: Edward Cabrera+100
W 5-0 at New York MetsMIA: Max Meyer • NYM: Tylor Megill+180
L 5-10 at New York MetsMIA: Connor Gillispie • NYM: Clay Holmes+240
L 0-2 at New York MetsMIA: Valente Bellozo • NYM: Kodai Senga+238
W 4-0 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Cal Quantrill • ATL: AJ Smith-Shawver+220

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • SSCJ Abrams10-day IL
  • PMichael Soroka15-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PRyan Weathers15-day IL
  • PJesus Tinoco15-day IL
WNW 9 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)82°82°81°79°
Humidity25%24%25%28%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 9 mphWNW 9 mphNW 7 mphWNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+122+125+117+125+124+125+125+130.5
Marlins-135-135-140-138-134-138-134-130.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+130+125+126+126+126+130+130+130.5
Marlins-142-140-140-141-141-140-140-130.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +131 to +125
Marlins ML moved from -129 to -137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +132 to +126
Marlins ML moved from -150 to -156

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-170+1½-168+1½-175+1½-167+1½-175+1½-167+1½-167+1½-154
Marlins-1½+145-1½+152-1½+150-1½+147-1½+155-1½+147-1½+155-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-190+1½-170+1½-180+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-154
Marlins-1½+170-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8+102o8-105o7½-122o7½-115o7½-122o8+102o7½-111
Underu7½-105u8-118u8-115u7½+102u7½-105u7½+102u7½+102u7½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-111
Underu7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115