Astros at Cubs

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
42.9%57.1%
Astros WinCubs Win
4.43Projected Runs 5.17
3Final Score 4

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-211.572.286

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-01.80.6

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
L 2-7 at Chicago CubsHOU: J.P. France • CHC: Jordan Wicks-105
L 0-6 at Washington NationalsHOU: Hunter Brown • WSN: Mitchell Parker-165
L 4-5 at Washington NationalsHOU: Ronel Blanco • WSN: Trevor Williams-167
W 5-3 at Washington NationalsHOU: Justin Verlander • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-146
L 5-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • HOU: J.P. France+123
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 2-7 vs Houston AstrosHOU: J.P. France • CHC: Jordan Wicks+100
L 6-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-116
W 3-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Roddery Munoz • CHC: Shota Imanaga-205
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesús Luzardo • CHC: Javier Assad-130
W 3-8 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: A.J. Puk • CHC: Jameson Taillon-159

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • PBennett SousaOut for Season
  • PFramber Valdez15-day IL
  • PJose Urquidy15-day IL
  • PCristian Javier15-day IL
  • PPenn Murfee60-day IL
  • PLance McCullers Jr60-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia60-day IL
  • POliver Ortega60-day IL
  • PKendall Graveman60-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKyle Hendricks15-day IL
  • PCaleb Kilian60-day IL
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • CFCody Bellinger60-day IL
  • PJulian Merryweather60-day IL
  • PJustin Steele15-day IL
NNE 10 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)42°41°40°40°
Humidity53%56%59%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 10 mphNNE 8 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+105-108-114-106-109-106-106-100.9
Cubs-115-102-106-104-101-104-101+100.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-103-107-110-103-110-110-103-100.9
Cubs-107-103+100-112+100+100+100+100.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -103 to -109
Cubs ML moved from +100 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from +100 to -104
Cubs ML moved from -109 to -117

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-225+1½-226-1½+155+1½-220+1½-230+1½-220+1½-199
Cubs-1½+185-1½+194+1½-180-1½+190-1½+190-1½+190-1½+199
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-216+1½-230+1½-230+1½-220+1½-240+1½-230+1½-220+1½-199
Cubs-1½+190-1½+195-1½+200-1½+180-1½+200-1½+195-1½+200-1½+199

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-113o7½-110o7½-113o7½-110o7½-113o7½-110o7½-103
Underu8-120u7½-103u7½-110u7½-107u7½-110u7½-107u7½-103u7½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-103
Underu8-115u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-108 to o7½-118
The Under moved from u8-113 to u7½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110