Yankees at Red Sox

Updated
Rank3
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
49.7%50.3%
Yankees WinRed Sox Win
4.23Projected Runs 4.27
1Final Score 4
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank3
R/G5.4
RA/G4.5
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-16.481.48

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-43.781.338

Last 5 Games

New York Yankees
Money Line
L 2-6 at Boston Red SoxNYY: Clarke Schmidt • BOS: Kaleb Ort-110
L 5-15 at Boston Red SoxNYY: Domingo Germán • BOS: Tanner Houck+111
L 3-4 at New York MetsNYY: Gerrit Cole • NYM: Justin Verlander+101
W 7-6 at New York MetsNYY: Luis Severino • NYM: Max Scherzer+143
L 3-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • NYY: Clarke Schmidt-113
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 2-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • BOS: Kaleb Ort+104
W 5-15 vs New York YankeesNYY: Domingo Germán • BOS: Tanner Houck-118
W 3-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Austin Gomber • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-212
L 7-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Chase Anderson • BOS: Kutter Crawford-200
L 4-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Connor Seabold • BOS: James Paxton-224

Injuries

New York Yankees

Status
  • CJose TrevinoRest
  • -Ryan Weber60-day IL
  • RFAaron Judge10-day IL
  • PNestor Cortes15-day IL
  • CFHarrison Bader10-day IL
  • 3BDJ LeMahieuRest
  • CFGreg Allen10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PTanner Houck10-day IL
  • LFAdam DuvallRest
  • CConnor WongRest
  • LFMasataka YoshidaRest
  • PJoely Rodriguez15-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
ESE 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)66°64°63°62°
Humidity72%75%79%81%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindESE 5 mphESE 4 mphESE 4 mphESE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Yankees+120+112+105+108+115+108+115+112.6
Red Sox-130-121-125-118-125-118-118-112.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Yankees+115+114+110+130+115+108+130+112.6
Red Sox-130-124-120-155-125-128-120-112.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Yankees: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Yankees: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Yankees: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Yankees: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Yankees ML moved from +114 to +108
Red Sox ML moved from -139 to -145

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Yankees: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Yankees: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Yankees: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Yankees: 80.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Yankees ML moved from +120 to +114
Red Sox ML moved from -140 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Yankees+1½-158+1½-173+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-173+1½-162
Red Sox-1½+142-1½+157-1½+150-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Yankees+1½-165+1½-165+1½-180+1½-155+1½-170+1½-175+1½-155+1½-162
Red Sox-1½+140-1½+145-1½+160-1½+130-1½+150-1½+147-1½+160-1½+162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9+102o8½-120o9+110o8½-120o9+110o9+110o9+119
Underu9½-120u9-118u8½+100u9-130u8½+100u9-130u9-118u9-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o9+105o8½-115o9-120o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o9+119
Underu9+105u9-125u8½-105u9+100u8½-115u8½-110u9+100u9-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u9-118 to u9-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 70.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-115