Brewers at Padres

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
51.0%49.0%
Brewers WinPadres Win
3.96Projected Runs 3.86
2Final Score 1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Aaron Ashby (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Yu Darvish (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-13.911.13

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 4-1 at San Diego PadresMIL: Corbin Burnes • SDP: Blake Snell-122
L 2-3 at San Diego PadresMIL: Adrian Houser • SDP: Nick Martinez+100
L 8-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Aaron Sanchez • MIL: Freddy Peralta-247
W 1-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-220
W 0-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • MIL: Eric Lauer-210
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • SDP: Blake Snell+118
W 2-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • SDP: Nick Martinez-105
W 10-1 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: MacKenzie Gore • SFG: Alex Wood+130
W 2-1 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Joe Musgrove • SFG: Carlos Rodon+146
W 8-7 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Sean Manaea • SFG: Jakob Junis+116

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • SSWilly Adames10-day IL
  • -Jean Carlos MejiaUnknown
  • PJosh HaderOut
  • RFHunter Renfroe10-day IL
  • PFreddy PeraltaUnknown
  • -Jandel GustaveUnknown
  • PJake Cousins10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PMike ClevingerUnknown
  • 1BMatt BeatyUnknown
  • CFTrent GrishamRest
SW 7 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)64°64°67°68°
Humidity79%77%70%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSW 7 mphSW 7 mphWSW 7 mphWSW 7 mph
Tripp Gibson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+100+121+126+124+126+126+126+128.3
Padres-110-144-136-134-136-136-134-128.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+110+126+128+128+133+125+133+128.3
Padres-120-136-140-138-145-135-135-128.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +127 to +120
Padres ML moved from -133 to -139

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Brewers: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 50.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Brewers ML
Padres ML moved from -133 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-220+1½-180+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-166
Padres-1½+180-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-190+1½-180+1½-176+1½-185+1½-185+1½-180+1½-176+1½-166
Padres-1½+170-1½+160-1½+156-1½+165-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+100o7½+105o7½+100o7½-105o7½-102o7½+100o7½+105o7½+109
Underu7-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-115u7½-118u7½-120u7½-115u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½+100o7½+105o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+105o7½+109
Underu7½-105u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+110 to o7½+100
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120