Orioles at Red Sox

Updated

Baltimore Orioles

(91-71)
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
50.7%49.3%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
4.40Projected Runs 4.33
13Final Score 12

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Jack Flaherty (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
258-84.841.545

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
166-34.461.161

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 11-2 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Kyle Bradish • BOS: Tanner Houck-110
W 10-3 at Los Angeles AngelsBAL: Kyle Gibson • LAA: Patrick Sandoval-149
W 5-4 at Los Angeles AngelsBAL: Dean Kremer • LAA: Reid Detmers-175
W 6-3 at Los Angeles AngelsBAL: Grayson Rodriguez • LAA: Kenny Rosenberg-177
W 8-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksBAL: Jack Flaherty • ARI: Zac Gallen+130
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 11-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Bradish • BOS: Tanner Houck+112
L 1-3 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TBR: Tyler Glasnow+151
L 6-8 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Kutter Crawford • TBR: Zach Eflin+146
W 7-3 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Brayan Bello • TBR: Aaron Civale+110
W 7-3 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Chris Sale • KCR: Taylor Clarke-179

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • No Reported Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFAdam DuvallRest
  • 2BPablo Reyes10-day IL
  • CFJarren DuranOut for Season
  • PCorey Kluber60-day IL
  • 2BLuis UriasRest
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+133+126+120+123+121+123+126+127.7
Red Sox-145-136-143-134-131-134-131-127.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+122+126+126+122+126+127+127+127.7
Red Sox-145-136-138-145-137-147-136-127.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +143 to +131
Red Sox ML moved from -143 to -149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +138 to +130
Red Sox ML moved from -146 to -156

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-150+1½-158+1½-160+1½-158+1½-160+1½-158+1½-158+1½-146
Red Sox-1½+130-1½+142-1½+135-1½+138-1½+140-1½+138-1½+142-1½+146
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-150+1½-160+1½-157+1½-155+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-146
Red Sox-1½+126-1½+140-1½+138-1½+130-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+146

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o10-103o10-110o10-110o10-105o10-110o10-103o10+100
Underu10-115u10-113u10-110u10-110u10-115u10-110u10-110u10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o10-105o10+100o10+100o10+100o10+100o10+100o10+100
Underu9½-105u10-115u10-120u10-120u10-120u10-120u10-115u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-105 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-120
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