Twins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
49.0%51.0%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
3.99Projected Runs 4.09
5Final Score 11
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Kenta Maeda (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-24.091.0

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-04.51.357

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 10-4 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Corey Kluber-138
L 4-5 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Chris Sale-114
L 0-2 at New York YankeesMIN: Pablo Lopez • NYY: Gerrit Cole+147
L 1-6 at New York YankeesMIN: Tyler Mahle • NYY: Domingo German+127
W 4-3 at New York YankeesMIN: Louie Varland • NYY: Nestor Cortes+163
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 10-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Corey Kluber+130
W 4-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Chris Sale+107
L 5-4 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Shohei Ohtani • BOS: Brayan Bello+126
W 1-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-102
W 7-9 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Tyler Anderson • BOS: Nick Pivetta+110

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • 2BKyle Farmer10-day IL
  • PJosh WinderUnknown
  • PKenta MaedaNamed Starter
  • LFAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • PRonny HenriquezUnknown
  • CFByron BuxtonRest
  • CFGilberto Celestino60-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 3BYu ChangProbable
  • LFAdam Duvall10-day IL
  • -Chris MartinUnknown
  • PWyatt MillsUnknown
  • LFZack Kelly60-day IL
  • PJoely RodriguezUnknown
  • PJames PaxtonUnknown
  • PBrayan BelloUnknown
  • 2BChristian ArroyoUnknown
  • SSAdalberto MondesiOut
  • 2BTrevor StoryOut
WNW 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)57°59°61°63°
Humidity37%34%31%31%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearMostly Clear
WindWNW 7 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+101+105+100+103+101+103+105+107.7
Red Sox-111-113-120-113-111-113-111-107.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+109+102+105+100+110+105+110+107.7
Red Sox-119-112-115-120-120-115-112-107.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -105
Red Sox ML moved from -105 to -112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 40.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -105
Red Sox ML moved from -115 to -122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-190+1½-183+1½-180+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-180+1½-174
Red Sox-1½+165-1½+162-1½+155-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-185+1½-175+1½-185+1½-175+1½-175+1½-185+1½-175+1½-174
Red Sox-1½+165-1½+155-1½+163-1½+148-1½+155-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o9-108o9-125o9-117o9-115o9-117o9-108o9-106
Underu9+105u9-108u9+105u9-103u9-105u9-103u9+105u9+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-120o9-115o9-125o9-130o9-115o9-115o9-106
Underu9-105u9+100u9-105u9+105u9+110u9-105u9+110u9+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-113