Red Sox at Reds

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
51.8%48.2%
Red Sox WinReds Win
4.60Projected Runs 4.42
5Final Score 3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-65.11.701

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
164-63.811.271

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-13 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • BOS: Nick Pivetta-190
L 9-0 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • BOS: Rich Hill-135
W 1-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Jonathan Heasley • BOS: Michael Wacha-205
L 5-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • BOS: Brayan Bello+116
L 7-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BOS: Nick Pivetta+147
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-0 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Luis Cessa • STL: Jordan Montgomery+220
L 0-1 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Hunter Greene • STL: Jose Quintana+197
L 1-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Mike Minor • STL: Dakota Hudson+220
L 5-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Fernando Cruz • STL: Jack Flaherty+240
W 3-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Chase Anderson • STL: Miles Mikolas+250

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BEric Hosmer10-day IL
  • 2BTrevor StoryUnknown
  • PGarrett WhitlockOut for Season
  • LFFranchy Cordero60-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • PKutter Crawford10-day IL
  • PNathan EovaldiUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season
  • PT.J. ZeuchUnknown
  • PGraham AshcraftUnknown
E 2 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°83°79°77°
Humidity52%58%65%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 2 mphESE 3 mphSE 3 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+100-121-128-122-122-122-121-115.5
Reds-110+112+107+112+112+112+112+115.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-105-122-121-120-123-123-120-115.5
Reds-105+112+111+110+113+113+113+115.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -120 to -130
Reds ML moved from +100 to -107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -113 to -123
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+150-1½+137-1½+135-1½+132-1½+132-1½+132-1½+137-1½+143
Reds+1½-175+1½-153+1½-160+1½-152+1½-152+1½-152+1½-152+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+155-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+143
Reds+1½-175+1½-155+1½-154+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-154+1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½+102o8½+100o8½+105o8½+105o8½+105o8½+105o8½+109
Underu8½-110u8½-118u8½-120u8½-125u8½-125u8½-125u8½-118u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+109
Underu8½-110u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-112 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120