Cubs at Mets

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
39.0%61.0%
Cubs WinMets Win
3.63Projected Runs 4.79
6Final Score 3
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
206-83.571.2

David Peterson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
187-43.471.328

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 4-1 at New York MetsCHC: Adrian Sampson • NYM: Jacob deGrom+360
W 5-2 at New York MetsCHC: Javier Assad • NYM: Chris Bassitt+250
L 4-2 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: John Brebbia • CHC: Wade Miley-108
L 5-2 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • CHC: Marcus Stroman+105
W 2-4 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Carlos Rodon • CHC: Drew Smyly+136
New York Mets
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • NYM: Jacob deGrom-415
L 5-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • NYM: Chris Bassitt-280
W 9-3 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Taijuan Walker • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-136
W 11-3 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIA: Pablo Lopez-152
L 3-6 at Miami MarlinsNYM: David Peterson • MIA: Edward Cabrera-154

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CP.J. HigginsRest
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • SSNico HoernerUnknown
  • LFIan HappRest
  • PKeegan ThompsonUnknown
  • PKyle HendricksOut for Season
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL
  • 2BNick MadrigalOut
  • -Steven BraultUnknown
  • LFRafael OrtegaOut for Season
  • PJustin SteeleUnknown

New York Mets

Status
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • -Bryce Montes de OcaUnknown
  • PMax ScherzerUnknown
  • 3BBrett BatyOut
  • CJames McCannRest
NW 8 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°77°77°76°
Humidity51%59%62%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 8 mphWNW 7 mphNW 6 mphW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+156+179+168+181+177+181+181+183.4
Mets-190-194-206-197-197-197-194-183.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+158+185+178+180+193+180+193+183.4
Mets-190-210-197-220-215-200-197-183.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +176 to +170
Mets ML moved from -200 to -206

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 80.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Mets ML moved from -205 to -215

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-130+1½-123+1½-125+1½-121+1½-121+1½-121+1½-121+1½-119
Mets-1½+110-1½+107-1½+105-1½+101-1½+101-1½+101-1½+107-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-130+1½-115+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-115+1½-119
Mets-1½+110-1½-105-1½+112-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+112-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-103o7½-105o7½-107o7½-107o7½-107o7½-103o7½+100
Underu7½-105u7½-113u7½-115u7½-113u7½-113u7½-113u7½-113u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½-105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+100
Underu7½-105u7½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-125u7½-115u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+110 to o7½+100
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-120