Diamondbacks at Cubs

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
47.4%52.6%
Diamondbacks WinCubs Win
3.65Projected Runs 3.92
3Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2511-63.221.173

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2616-32.551.138

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
W 1-0 at Chicago CubsARI: Zac Gallen • CHC: Jameson Taillon-114
W 6-2 at Chicago CubsARI: Ryne Nelson • CHC: Javier Assad+148
W 5-12 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Chris Flexen • ARI: Zach Davies-200
L 3-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt-205
W 2-4 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Peter Lambert • ARI: Merrill Kelly-235
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • CHC: Jameson Taillon+112
L 6-2 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Ryne Nelson • CHC: Javier Assad-150
W 2-8 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • CHC: Jordan Wicks-142
W 8-11 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Ryan Walker • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-120
W 0-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • CHC: Justin Steele-120

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • CFAlek ThomasRest
  • CFDominic Fletcher60-day IL
  • SSGeraldo PerdomoRest
  • RFJake McCarthyRest

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PMarcus Stroman15-day IL
  • DHChristopher MorelRest
NNE 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)71°72°73°72°
Humidity56%54%53%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearClearClear
WindNNE 8 mphNNE 8 mphNNE 8 mphNNE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+129+124+119+124+123+124+124+128.7
Cubs-140-134-142-135-133-135-133-128.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+122+127+125+118+133+121+133+128.7
Cubs-145-137-137-140-145-141-137-128.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +128 to +122
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Diamondbacks: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 70.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +134 to +127
Cubs ML moved from -138 to -144

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-185+1½-173+1½-185+1½-177+1½-175+1½-177+1½-173+1½-164
Cubs-1½+160-1½+157-1½+160-1½+157-1½+155-1½+157-1½+160-1½+164
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-178+1½-170+1½-190+1½-170+1½-164
Cubs-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+150-1½+150-1½+160-1½+160-1½+164

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-120o7½+102o7½+100o7-120o7-125o7-120o7-120o7-109
Underu6½+100u7½-118u7½-120u7+100u7+105u7+100u7½-118u7+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o7-125o7-125o7-125o7-125o7-125o7-125o7-109
Underu6½-110u7+105u7+105u7+105u7+105u7+105u7+105u7+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-113 to o7½+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o7-130
No Steam Moves On Under