Diamondbacks at Astros

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
32.1%67.9%
Diamondbacks WinAstros Win
3.43Projected Runs 5.27
6Final Score 4
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Humberto Castellanos (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-13.91.233

Lance McCullers (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2512-43.121.24

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 3-4 at Houston AstrosARI: Madison Bumgarner • HOU: Brandon Bielak+202
L 3-5 at Los Angeles DodgersARI: Merrill Kelly • LAD: Julio Urias+334
L 4-8 at Los Angeles DodgersARI: Luke Weaver • LAD: Tony Gonsolin+230
L 1-5 at Los Angeles DodgersARI: Zac Gallen • LAD: Clayton Kershaw+260
W 5-4 at Seattle MarinersARI: Tyler Gilbert • SEA: Yusei Kikuchi+157
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • HOU: Brandon Bielak-216
W 12-1 at Texas RangersHOU: Luis Garcia • TEX: Glenn Otto-157
W 7-2 at Texas RangersHOU: Jose Urquidy • TEX: Kohei Arihara-184
L 1-8 at Texas RangersHOU: Zack Greinke • TEX: Jordan Lyles-188
W 15-1 at Texas RangersHOU: Jake Odorizzi • TEX: Spencer Howard-173

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • CCarson KellyRest
  • 1BSeth Beer10-day IL
  • SSNick AhmedRest
  • PTyler Gilbert10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PPedro Baez10-day IL
  • LFMichael Brantley10-day IL
  • PFramber ValdezQuestionable
  • 1BTaylor Jones10-day IL
  • PJake Odorizzi10-day IL
NNE 5 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)87°85°83°81°
Humidity64%68%73%78%
Precipitation15%14%10%5%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumidHumidHumid
WindNNE 5 mphNE 5 mphENE 4 mphESE 3 mph
Mike Estabrook
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+237+230+247+237+238+247+247+255.2
Astros-265-290-278-275-278-278-275-255.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+230+250+258+245+250+245+258+255.2
Astros-260-300-290-285-300-280-280-255.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +240 to +230
Astros ML moved from -280 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Diamondbacks ML
Astros ML moved from -290 to -300

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½+115+1½+125+1½+128+1½+125+1½+128+1½+128+1½+128+1½+134
Astros-1½-135-1½-145-1½-148-1½-145-1½-148-1½-148-1½-145-1½-134
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½+115+1½+130+1½+130+1½+130+1½+130+1½+120+1½+130+1½+134
Astros-1½-135-1½-150-1½-148-1½-150-1½-150-1½-140-1½-140-1½-134

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9+100o9+103o9+100o9+103o9+103o9+103o9+110
Underu9-110u9-120u9-123u9-120u9-123u9-123u9-120u9-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-115o9+100o8½-115o9+100o8½-120o8½-115o9+110
Underu9-110u8½-105u9-120u8½-105u9-120u8½+100u9-120u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
The Under moved from u8½+101 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105