Pirates at Astros

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
36.8%63.2%
Pirates WinAstros Win
3.47Projected Runs 4.86
4Final Score 5
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Jake Woodford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-210.82.4

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
189-53.431.26

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 6-2 at Houston AstrosPIT: Bailey Falter • HOU: Hunter Brown+176
W 5-3 at Houston AstrosPIT: Paul Skenes • HOU: Tayler Scott-121
W 6-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksPIT: Mitch Keller • ARI: Yilber Diaz+102
L 5-9 at Arizona DiamondbacksPIT: Marco Gonzales • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt+157
L 3-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksPIT: Luis Ortiz • ARI: Zac Gallen+152
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 6-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • HOU: Hunter Brown-188
L 5-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • HOU: Tayler Scott+117
L 6-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: River Ryan • HOU: Spencer Arrighetti-130
W 6-7 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Justin Wrobleski • HOU: Ronel Blanco-150
W 0-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Gavin Stone • HOU: Framber Valdez-130

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • PDaulton Jefferies15-day IL
  • CFBryan ReynoldsOut

Houston Astros

Status
  • PJ.P. FranceOut for Season
SSE 10 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)91°88°86°84°
Humidity64%70%75%80%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSSE 10 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+172+196+190+205+200+205+205+212.3
Astros-212-216-230-229-220-229-216-212.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+180+195+206+205+201+205+206+212.3
Astros-200-230-228-230-225-235-225-212.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +190 to +178
Astros ML moved from -217 to -223

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +200 to +190
Astros ML moved from -230 to -240

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½-103+1½+100+1½-107+1½+105+1½+103+1½+105+1½+112
Astros-1½+100-1½-113-1½-120-1½-113-1½-125-1½-123-1½-113-1½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½+105+1½+103+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+105+1½+112
Astros-1½+100-1½-125-1½-121-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-112

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-103o8½+100o8½-102o8½+100o8½-102o8½+100o8½+107
Underu8½-120u8½-113u8½-120u8½-118u8½-120u8½-118u8½-113u8½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-105o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-115o8½+107
Underu8-105u8½-115u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8½-115u8½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
No Steam Moves On Under