Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
45.3%54.7%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.01Projected Runs 4.50
10Final Score 4
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Roansy Contreras (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
145-43.291.298

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-53.781.296

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-0 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Luis Ortiz • CIN: Fernando Cruz+122
W 6-1 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Johan Oviedo • CIN: Luis Cessa+128
W 6-3 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bryse Wilson • CIN: Mike Minor+120
L 4-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jose Quintana • PIT: Mitch Keller+145
L 7-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • PIT: JT Brubaker+166
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Luis Ortiz • CIN: Fernando Cruz-130
L 6-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • CIN: Luis Cessa-136
L 6-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • CIN: Mike Minor-126
L 6-7 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Justin Dunn • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+245
L 1-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Chase Anderson • MIL: Adrian Houser+205

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PColin HoldermanUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFAlbert Almora Jr.10-day IL
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season
  • PT.J. ZeuchUnknown
  • DHJake FraleyUnknown
  • 1BJoey VottoOut for Season
  • PGraham AshcraftUnknown
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
N 3 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)71°74°76°77°
Humidity76%69%64%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClearClear
WindN 3 mphN 3 mphN 3 mphN 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+143+137+126+140+139+140+140+143.0
Reds-155-147-150-152-151-152-147-143.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+139+140+137+135+146+136+146+143.0
Reds-152-150-150-160-159-146-146-143.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 60.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +141 to +133
Reds ML moved from -142 to -148

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-160+1½-158+1½-160+1½-159+1½-159+1½-159+1½-158+1½-143
Reds-1½+135-1½+142-1½+135-1½+139-1½+139-1½+139-1½+142-1½+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-150+1½-159+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-143
Reds-1½+130-1½+130-1½+140-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+140-1½+143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o7½-118o8+100o7½-113o7½-117o7½-113o7½-113o7½-109
Underu8½-110u7½+102u8-120u7½-107u7½-103u7½-107u7½+102u7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8+100o7½-115o7½-110o7½-120o7½-115o7½-110o7½-109
Underu8-105u8-120u7½-105u7½-110u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110