Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
42.2%57.8%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.77Projected Runs 4.58
2Final Score 9
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Jonathan Heasley (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
204-95.01.455

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
194-65.041.198

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 3-5 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Daniel Lynch • CLE: Cal Quantrill+165
W 5-2 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Zack Greinke • CLE: Triston McKenzie+177
L 5-7 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Max Castillo • CLE: Shane Bieber+208
W 7-1 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Kris Bubic • CLE: Zach Plesac+160
L 3-6 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Aaron Civale+125
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch • CLE: Cal Quantrill-178
L 5-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • CLE: Triston McKenzie-188
W 5-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Max Castillo • CLE: Shane Bieber-220
L 7-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • CLE: Zach Plesac-162
W 3-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Aaron Civale-135

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 3BNicky LopezRest
  • CSalvador PerezUnknown
  • CFMichael A. TaylorRest

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 1BOwen MillerRest
  • CAustin HedgesRest
NNW 3 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)67°68°68°67°
Humidity54%54%56%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 3 mphNNW 2 mphNNW 3 mphS 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+153+162+144+162+161+162+162+168.6
Guardians-185-175-175-176-176-176-175-168.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+170+160+160+158+160+160+160+168.6
Guardians-185-175-176-190-175-170-170-168.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +153 to +144
Guardians ML moved from -166 to -172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +160 to +153
Guardians ML moved from -165 to -176

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-125+1½-133+1½-135+1½-131+1½-131+1½-131+1½-131+1½-124
Guardians-1½+105-1½+117-1½+115-1½+111-1½+111-1½+111-1½+117-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-140+1½-140+1½-130+1½-124
Guardians-1½+110-1½+115-1½+112-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-113o7½-115o7½-113o7½-113o7½-113o7½-113o7½-104
Underu7½-110u7½-103u7½-105u7½-107u7½-107u7½-107u7½-103u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-104
Underu7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110