Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
46.4%53.6%
Pirates WinCubs Win
4.06Projected Runs 4.43
3Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Wil Crowe (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-43.641.348

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 0-7 at Chicago CubsPIT: JT Brubaker • CHC: Keegan Thompson+132
L 0-9 at Chicago CubsPIT: Dillon Peters • CHC: Wade Miley+149
W 0-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Jose Quintana-144
W 1-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Zach Thompson+119
L 8-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller-105
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 0-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CHC: Keegan Thompson-138
W 0-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Dillon Peters • CHC: Wade Miley-154
W 3-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksCHC: Justin Steele • ARI: Humberto Castellanos+112
W 4-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksCHC: Kyle Hendricks • ARI: Zac Gallen+143
L 3-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksCHC: Drew Smyly • ARI: Zach Davies+108

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CRoberto PerezOut for Season
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
  • RFAnthony AlfordRest

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PMarcus StromanNamed Starter
  • PEthan Roberts10-day IL
  • PSean NewcombUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • LFClint Frazier10-day IL
  • CFMichael Hermosillo10-day IL
  • SSNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • 3BPatrick WisdomRest
N 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)55°57°56°55°
Humidity83%84%86%88%
Precipitation14%13%7%3%
ConditionOvercastMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindN 7 mphNNW 6 mphNW 5 mphNNW 5 mph
Ben May
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+148+139+144+144+144+144+144+149.4
Cubs-161-165-156-154-156-156-154-149.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+137+147+142+145+146+146+147+149.4
Cubs-150-157-156-155-160-156-155-149.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +146 to +140
Cubs ML moved from -164 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Cubs ML moved from -150 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-138
Cubs-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-153+1½-145+1½-148+1½-145+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138
Cubs-1½+134-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+100
Underu8-105u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-105u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8+100
Underu8-120u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
No Steam Moves On Under