Nationals at Padres

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
34.3%65.7%
Nationals WinPadres Win
3.61Projected Runs 5.24
3Final Score 13
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-84.891.583

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-24.221.313

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Tommy Henry • WSN: Jake Irvin+140
W 0-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • WSN: Trevor Williams+144
L 9-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jordan Montgomery • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+130
L 8-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • WSN: Josiah Gray+131
L 4-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesús Luzardo • WSN: Patrick Corbin+139
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 10-0 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Blake Snell • SFG: Alex Wood-141
L 2-4 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Yu Darvish • SFG: Ryan Walker-114
L 3-4 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Seth Lugo • SFG: Anthony DeSclafani-112
L 4-7 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Michael Wacha • SFG: Ryan Walker-108
W 4-5 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Yonny Chirinos • SDP: Joe Musgrove-143

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • -Carl Edwards Jr.15-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • RFMatt CarpenterRest
  • -Tom Cosgrove15-day IL
WNW 10 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)67°66°64°63°
Humidity61%66%72%75%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 10 mphWNW 9 mphNW 8 mphNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+216+244+230+241+237+241+244+248.8
Padres-240-274-290-270-275-270-270-248.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+215+250+255+235+240+240+255+248.8
Padres-267-300-285-292-280-300-280-248.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +225 to +218
Padres ML moved from -275 to -281

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +246 to +228
Padres ML moved from -290 to -300

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+110+1½+127+1½+125+1½+120+1½+125+1½+120+1½+127+1½+128
Padres-1½-130-1½-143-1½-145-1½-140-1½-145-1½-140-1½-140-1½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-100+1½+125+1½+122+1½+122+1½+125+1½+125+1½+125+1½+128
Padres-1½-120-1½-145-1½-140-1½-145-1½-145-1½-145-1½-140-1½-128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-103o8-120o8½-105o8-120o8½-105o8-120o8½+104
Underu8-105u8½-113u8+100u8½-115u8+100u8½-115u8½-113u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-120o8-120o8-125o8-130o8-115o8-115o8½+104
Underu8-110u8+100u8+100u8+105u8+110u8-105u8+110u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-113 to o8½-103
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
No Steam Moves On Under