Pirates at Padres

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
39.7%60.3%
Pirates WinPadres Win
3.69Projected Runs 4.77
3Final Score 2
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Johan Oviedo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
203-114.771.365

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
144-43.721.267

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-5 at San Diego PadresPIT: Rich Hill • SDP: Blake Snell+244
W 8-4 at San Diego PadresPIT: Quinn Priester • SDP: Yu Darvish+227
L 5-7 at Los Angeles AngelsPIT: Mitch Keller • LAA: Tyler Anderson+107
W 3-0 at Los Angeles AngelsPIT: Ryan Borucki • LAA: Reid Detmers+170
L 5-8 at Los Angeles AngelsPIT: Johan Oviedo • LAA: Shohei Ohtani+170
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Rich Hill • SDP: Blake Snell-270
L 8-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Quinn Priester • SDP: Yu Darvish-253
L 1-3 at Detroit TigersSDP: Joe Musgrove • DET: Alex Faedo-208
W 14-3 at Detroit TigersSDP: Jackson Wolf • DET: Matt Manning-134
W 5-4 at Detroit TigersSDP: Seth Lugo • DET: Reese Olson-152

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • RFAndrew McCutchenRest
  • 2BJi-Hwan Bae10-day IL
  • SSTucupita Marcano60-day IL
  • CAustin HedgesRest
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • 1BJi-Man ChoiUnknown
  • SSRodolfo CastroRest

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PMichael Wacha15-day IL
  • PAdrian Morejon15-day IL
  • LFJuan SotoRest
  • PReiss Knehr60-day IL
  • PDrew Carlton15-day IL
W 8 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°83°83°81°
Humidity60%61%61%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearClearClear
WindW 8 mphW 8 mphW 8 mphW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+210+165+157+163+169+163+169+168.4
Padres-235-178-192-178-179-178-178-168.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+180+175+165+162+168+160+175+168.4
Padres-220-190-182-195-185-190-182-168.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +164 to +156
Padres ML moved from -195 to -201

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 70.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +175 to +162
Padres ML moved from -207 to -219

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-112+1½-123+1½-125+1½-128+1½-125+1½-128+1½-123+1½-117
Padres-1½-108-1½+107-1½+105-1½+108-1½+105-1½+108-1½+108-1½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½-120+1½-126+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-117
Padres-1½-105-1½+100-1½+108-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+108-1½+117

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-103o8½-105o8½-101o8½-105o8½-101o8½-101o8½+108
Underu8½+100u8½-113u8½-115u8½-119u8½-115u8½-119u8½-113u8½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-105o8-120o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100o8½+100o8½+108
Underu8½-100u8½-115u8+100u8½-115u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-115