Orioles at Red Sox

Updated

Baltimore Orioles

(91-71)
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
31.1%68.9%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
3.98Projected Runs 5.92
3Final Score 9

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Zac Lowther (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-29.921.776

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
279-74.491.311

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 1-7 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Keegan Akin • BOS: Chris Sale+300
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jordan Montgomery • BAL: Chris Ellis+205
L 4-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • BAL: John Means+149
L 7-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BAL: Alexander Wells+292
L 22-7 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Steven Matz • BAL: Zac Lowther+195
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 1-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Keegan Akin • BOS: Chris Sale-314
W 9-4 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Tanner Houck • SEA: Marco Gonzales-124
W 8-4 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • SEA: Tyler Anderson-135
L 4-5 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • SEA: Logan Gilbert-118
L 1-2 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CHW: Lance Lynn+152

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • 1BTrey ManciniRest
  • 3BMaikel FrancoRest
  • PJorge LopezOut for Season
  • CPedro SeverinoRest
  • SSJorge Mateo60-day IL
  • PTanner Scott10-day IL
  • PMatt HarveyOut for Season

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BChristian ArroyoOut
  • LFAlex VerdugoRest
  • 2BJarren Duran10-day IL
  • CFDanny Santana10-day IL
  • CFYairo Munoz10-day IL
  • SSJonathan Arauz10-day IL
  • PPhillips Valdez10-day IL
N 2 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°73°75°77°
Humidity81%75%70%73%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindN 2 mphNNE 2 mphNNE 3 mphNE 4 mph
Bill Miller
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+228+230+249+237+240+249+249+256.2
Red Sox-255-290-280-275-280-280-275-256.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+225+240+248+240+245+245+248+256.2
Red Sox-255-280-278-280-290-280-278-256.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +241 to +235
Red Sox ML moved from -280 to -290

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +240 to +230
Red Sox ML moved from -280 to -290

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+120+1½+135+1½+140+1½+135+1½+140+1½+140+1½+140+1½+143
Red Sox-1½-140-1½-160-1½-160-1½-155-1½-160-1½-160-1½-155-1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+120+1½+135+1½+137+1½+135+1½+140+1½+140+1½+140+1½+143
Red Sox-1½-140-1½-155-1½-156-1½-155-1½-160-1½-160-1½-155-1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-110o10½-105o10½-102o10½-115o10½-102o10½-102o10½-102o10½+102
Underu10½-110u10½-115u10½-118u10½-105u10½-118u10½-118u10½-105u10½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-110o10½-105o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-105o10½+102
Underu10½-110u10½-115u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-110 to o10½-125
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-110
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