Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
46.5%53.5%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.82Projected Runs 4.19
11Final Score 10
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-52.960.929

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-12.090.931

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 6-5 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Joe Ryan+145
W 5-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCLE: Shane Bieber • LAD: Andrew Heaney+160
L 1-7 at Los Angeles DodgersCLE: Cal Quantrill • LAD: Julio Urias+240
W 2-1 at Los Angeles DodgersCLE: Zach Plesac • LAD: Clayton Kershaw+240
W 4-2 at Colorado RockiesCLE: Triston McKenzie • COL: Chad Kuhl-130
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 6-5 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Joe Ryan-151
L 1-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIN: Chris Archer • ARI: Merrill Kelly-120
W 11-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIN: Dylan Bundy • ARI: Luke Weaver-108
L 2-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIN: Devin Smeltzer • ARI: Madison Bumgarner-129
W 5-0 at Seattle MarinersMIN: Sonny Gray • SEA: Marco Gonzales-137

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • DHFranmil ReyesRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PCody Stashak60-day IL
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
  • CFByron BuxtonRest
  • PBailey OberUnknown
  • PDanny CoulombeUnknown
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • SSRoyce LewisOut for Season
WNW 7 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°83°82°79°
Humidity36%38%39%43%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 7 mphNW 6 mphNNW 5 mphW 3 mph
Angel Hernandez
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+130+134+138+139+137+138+139+144.6
Twins-140-160-149-149-149-149-149-144.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+131+135+133+137+133+138+138+144.6
Twins-142-145-146-149-145-148-145-144.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +134 to +122
Twins ML moved from -145 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +140 to +131
Twins ML moved from -145 to -153

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-170+1½-160+1½-158+1½-160+1½-158+1½-158+1½-158+1½-145
Twins-1½+150-1½+135-1½+138-1½+140-1½+138-1½+138-1½+140-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-170+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-145
Twins-1½+150-1½+135-1½+141-1½+140-1½+135-1½+135-1½+141-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+100
Underu8½-115u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-105u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-105o8½+100o8½-105o8-115o8½+100o8-115o8+100
Underu8½-115u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8-105u8½-120u8½-115u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115