Twins at Orioles

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
42.0%58.0%
Twins WinOrioles Win
3.84Projected Runs 4.67
3Final Score 11
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-04.151.846

Grayson Rodriguez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-02.51.167

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 4-7 at Baltimore OriolesMIN: Louie Varland • BAL: Cole Irvin+119
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersMIN: Bailey Ober • DET: Jack Flaherty+120
W 4-1 at Detroit TigersMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • DET: Matt Manning+125
W 11-5 at Detroit TigersMIN: Joe Ryan • DET: Kenta Maeda-113
L 2-8 at Detroit TigersMIN: Pablo López • DET: Tarik Skubal+105
Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 4-7 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Louie Varland • BAL: Cole Irvin-120
W 4-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Colin Rea • BAL: Corbin Burnes-203
L 11-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: DL Hall • BAL: Dean Kremer-138
L 11-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • BAL: Tyler Wells+115
W 9-4 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Grayson Rodriguez • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-124

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PAnthony DeSclafani60-day IL
  • PJosh Winder60-day IL
  • PCaleb Thielbar15-day IL
  • PJosh Staumont15-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • PZack Weiss60-day IL
  • PJustin Topa15-day IL
  • 3BRoyce Lewis10-day IL
  • PJhoan Duran15-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte15-day IL
  • SSCarlos Correa10-day IL

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PKyle Bradish15-day IL
  • PTyler Wells15-day IL
  • PJohn Means15-day IL
  • PCionel Perez15-day IL
SSE 8 mph
Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°70°66°63°
Humidity36%38%43%47%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearClearClear
WindSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mphSSE 5 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+142+148+141+144+147+144+148+149.1
Orioles-155-160-170-157-157-157-157-149.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+145+152+144+148+152+141+152+149.1
Orioles-158-165-158-163-166-156-156-149.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +151 to +144
Orioles ML moved from -151 to -157

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 40.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +150 to +141
Orioles ML moved from -158 to -165

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-150+1½-143+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
Orioles-1½+130-1½+127-1½+125-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+127-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-155+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
Orioles-1½+135-1½+120-1½+127-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+127-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½+102o8-120o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+102o8½+109
Underu9-115u8½-118u8+100u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-117u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½+100o8½+100o8½-110o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+109
Underu8½-110u8½-120u8½-120u8½-110u8½-120u8½-120u8½-110u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-108 to o8½-118
The Under moved from u8½-108 to u8+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120