Pirates at Padres

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
39.0%61.0%
Pirates WinPadres Win
3.85Projected Runs 5.01
1Final Score 2
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Jake Woodford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-37.411.529

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-45.661.48

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 5-6 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Bailey Falter • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+240
L 1-4 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Paul Skenes • LAD: River Ryan+103
L 5-9 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Mitch Keller • LAD: Jack Flaherty+214
L 7-6 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • PIT: Luis Ortiz+102
L 9-8 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael King • PIT: Marco Gonzales+144
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 6-7 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Dylan Cease • MIA: Max Meyer-180
W 9-8 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Matt Waldron • MIA: Roddery Muñoz-180
W 6-2 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Martín Pérez • MIA: Edward Cabrera-125
W 7-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Randy Vásquez • PIT: Luis Ortiz-109
W 9-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Michael King • PIT: Marco Gonzales-152

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • CFJoshua Palacios10-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PWandy Peralta15-day IL
  • PStephen Kolek15-day IL
W 6 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°77°75°73°
Humidity64%68%73%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearMostly Clear
WindW 6 mphW 5 mphW 4 mphWSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+136+176+174+178+176+178+178+183.8
Padres-162-192-214-195-186-195-186-183.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+150+180+180+180+181+178+181+183.8
Padres-170-200-199-200-200-198-198-183.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +172 to +166
Padres ML moved from -206 to -213

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Padres ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-118+1½-120+1½-118+1½-120+1½-118+1½-118+1½-107
Padres-1½+135-1½+102-1½+100-1½-102-1½+100-1½-102-1½+102-1½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-147+1½-125+1½-123+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-107
Padres-1½+127-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+107

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-103o8½-105o8½-107o8-120o8½-107o8-120o8½+103
Underu8-105u8½-113u8½-115u8½-113u8+100u8½-113u8½-113u8½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-120o8-120o8-125o8-120o8-120o8-120o8½+103
Underu8-105u8+100u8+100u8+105u8+100u8+100u8+105u8½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under